lol at Washington D.C.

just ask me to post the template kek

https://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/159648722

@Red Storm (in NYC) need bump

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 We need to educate the public more about Energy, the Democrats have no idea what they are doing

@FLanon Speaking of New England. Apparently Rhode Island has the most elastic Voters. Unfortunately there are very few registered Republicans there so no matter how much the independents swing there isn't enough of a GOP base there yet to flip the state

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/swing-voters-and-elastic-states/

It might be worth to build up a base in Rhode Island over the next few elections

@FLanon @Skrrt @Ḁ̢̧̡̝̭̀̓̇̈̑yeExEye̼̘̲ͨͬ @🎃Boo-ton🎃 I just came up with this

it's a general reference for Red Storm 2018 according to each state

still incomplete, of course

when you guys wake up (it's 2:58AM right now in NYC lol) let me know what you think when you read it

@Ḁ̢̧̡̝̭̀̓̇̈̑yeExEye̼̘̲ͨͬ You can copy and paste a bunch of info from this to the blog

I need to do research on the gubernatorial races

Alright, just read it, it's good

When we have generals and someone mentions what state they're from, then you give them the analysis from that state

@Red Storm (in NYC) Great Summary. For Pennsylvania do you think that you should mention something about Scranton Area? The Dems can't hold the state without winning that area by large numbers.

I think that is why Barletta has a good chance at winning the Senate

I think the Amish may have more of an impact there in the future than we anticipate

They have a birth rate that gives sub-saharan Africa a run for its money

It's already in a developed nation so you can throw away the demographic transition models

And any leftist attempt to interfere with this may make them a permanent GOP bloc that votes regularly

quick rundown, just woke up

In 2012 there were 250k amish, 2017 that's up to 313k

I'm on my phone at work right now, I'll flesh this out more when I get off

https://www.axios.com/democrats-dccc-2018-midterms-101-gop-house-seats-5d94a092-3fef-49fc-9a8e-ef8ebcaaae67.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=organic&utm_content=1100&utm_term=politics

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

frigging heck

they'll stretch themselves too thin

I already had that in the copypasta though

the Republicans are also targeting a bunch of Democratic Incumbents

https://www.axios.com/democrats-2018-campaign-plan-health-care-ads-8378d973-9b4a-4daf-b63c-dfc0fca4c18c.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=organic&utm_content=1100&utm_term=healthcare

Americans trust Dems more than the GOP on healthcare, they can win on this issue

https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2018

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 >using Axios as a source

the GOP is targetting 36 incumbent Democrat seats in the House

source?

(Axios is run by a bunch of college leftists, but they have better access to DC than anyone else)

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 the Ballotpedia article

there was this guy a couple weeks ago shilling that Axios was run by the Koch brothers and that meant we should trust it

@Den Sure, I'll add something about Scranton. This .doc is a work in progress, it's currently the skeleton of what will later be a fully fleshed state-by-state guide

you all down to do a general?

alright sure

ill start it

nice

what should be the OP pic

@everyone https://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/159734830

have gun, will travel

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v7XXVLKWd3Q

@FLanon @Sacramento @mojo8448

there's a shitload of shills in there with meme flags

its almost funny how hard they try to push

https://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/159734830

bump

what should we do about the Nat-Sco invading the thread? They (likely a leftist irl) is just derailing the thread

just let them bump the thread for us

start discussion about the general

and spice up the discussion

they give the threads some momentum

updated for today

https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/ @Ḁ̢̧̡̝̭̀̓̇̈̑yeExEye̼̘̲ͨͬ @Cade @FLanon @mojo8448

currently using this link as reference

http://www.ihr.org/leaflets/wiesel.shtml

@mojo8448

I more inclined to believe WA-08 will flip

@mojo8448

no districts in NC will change

https://ballotpedia.org/Jenny_Marshall

https://youtu.be/m1cXNsxHMWg

opinion:

it won't be enough for us to be anti-left and rely on liberals making fools of themselves. we on the right need to trout out a list of accomplishments come november (ex. tax cuts)

What's going on? Why isn't Rick Scott running as senator for Florida yet?

just curious

Scott's busy w/ governorship atm, he's got to announce a run, he's anticipated to and hasn't signalled anything pointing towards the contrary.

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 the GOP should be acting on many of the reforms Trump proposed in the SOTU, these are things any American could agree with and would be a major gain.

As for list of accomplishments, I think places like /ptg/ have a list of accomplishments in a pastebin

And on the Rick Scott note: http://www.heraldtribune.com/news/20180207/rick-scotts-improving-public-image-could-make-senate-run-more-likely

“Politicians typically are thinking about their next job; I’ve got to continue finishing this job,” Scott said when asked if his higher approval ratings make him more likely to run for the Senate."

@FLanon I recall hearing about Rick Scott's unpopularity back then

What made him more popular in the last couple years

I updated the state by state guide

@everyone

@FLanon he hesistating because FL has an extensive history of punishing the party in power during midterm elections

egad,

The Democrats are back at a +7.5 lead

But isn't that because that Marost poll that appears to be an utlier? It has Trump's Approval numbers below most other polls as well

WaPo is also saying that the Cook Political Ratings for the House have shifted towards the Dems favor. But I don't know how. There are currently 16 GOP house seats rated tossup or worse to 4 Dem Seats. So even if some miracle happened and they picked up all those while we got 0 they would still be 8 seats short from the house.

Outlier. I mean I have no clue why I spelled it that way

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 they're still lower than the double digit lead they had

I predict it'll go wayyyy down over the next few months

This is a list of Democrat House Reps who are incumbents in districts that Trump won. These will be especially vulnerable this November, and because Democrats need to flip 24 seats to win a majority, they cannot afford to lose any of these seats. Let’s make sure they lose all of them.

AZ-01 Tom O’Halleran, 2016 House Margin (7.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.1% for Trump)

IA-02 David Loebsack, 2016 House Margin (7.5% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (4.1% for Trump)

MN-01 Timothy Walz , Retiring, 2016 House Margin (0.8% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (14.9% for Trump)

MN-07 Collin Peterson, 2016 House Margin (5% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (30.8% for Trump)

MN-08 Rick Nolan, 2016 House Margin (0.6% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (15.6% for Trump)

NH-01 Carol-Shea Porter, Retiring, 2016 House Margin (1.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.6% for Trump)

NJ-05 Josh Gottheimer, 2016 House Margin (4.4% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.0% for Trump)

NV-03 Jacky Rosen, Retiring, 2016 House Margin (1.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1% for Trump)

NY-18 Sean P. Maloney, 2016 House Margin (11.2% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.9% for Trump)

PA-17 Matthew Cartwright, 2016 House Margin (7.6% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (10.1% for Trump)

WI-03 Ron Kind, 2016 House Margin (99%, faced no opponent aside from write-in) 2016 Presidential Margin (4.5% for Trump)