Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃
Discord ID: 410629431200055296
it looks like a young, energetic moderate Democrat beating an old run of the mill Republican who probably didn't campaign very hard
local races can be very volatile
@everyone Who here lives in Missouri
District 144 not finished yet, but Democrat candidate maintains a slight lead
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 it's not Alabama tier bad
it's a local race, so things are different
the swing is the same
a single candidate working really hard can swing the margins
like in the case of
okay,
more news,
this Democrat
the R has won in the other district,
not as bad this time
beating this Republican
a +18 swing to Dems
what website are you using
so 144 isn't finished yet
super close
you're referring to 129 ?
leave it to Shapiro to retweet that
I have a theory,
it's a little whitepilling,
perhaps state legislative elections are not accurate at representing US Congressional elections,
the evidence I'm basing this on is the fact the average shift for state legislative elections have remain unchanged since January,
and from January until now, the congressional generical ballot has shifted from +10 to +6 in that time.
Daily reminder that Clinton is literally the worst candidate that the Democrats had to offer
So it would probably make sense why a district that dramatically voted for Trump in the 201 election went for a moderate Dem to represent their district this year
Jeeeeeesus....
**53** point shift....
"perhaps state legislative elections are not accurate at representing US Congressional Elections,"
DING DING DING DING
we have a winner
i'm hoping so
we'll wait until March I suppose