Message from @Nuke

Discord ID: 410788801322024982


2018-02-07 03:18:38 UTC  

I have a theory,

2018-02-07 03:18:49 UTC  

it's a little whitepilling,

2018-02-07 03:19:23 UTC  

perhaps state legislative elections are not accurate at representing US Congressional elections,

2018-02-07 03:20:05 UTC  

the evidence I'm basing this on is the fact the average shift for state legislative elections have remain unchanged since January,

2018-02-07 03:20:34 UTC  

and from January until now, the congressional generical ballot has shifted from +10 to +6 in that time.

2018-02-07 03:25:10 UTC  

Daily reminder that Clinton is literally the worst candidate that the Democrats had to offer

2018-02-07 03:27:22 UTC  

So it would probably make sense why a district that dramatically voted for Trump in the 201 election went for a moderate Dem to represent their district this year

2018-02-07 03:59:15 UTC  

Jeeeeeesus....

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/410645661080616970/dear_lord.png

2018-02-07 03:59:28 UTC  

**53** point shift....

2018-02-07 04:13:42 UTC  

"perhaps state legislative elections are not accurate at representing US Congressional Elections,"

2018-02-07 04:13:50 UTC  

DING DING DING DING

2018-02-07 04:13:58 UTC  

we have a winner

2018-02-07 04:34:09 UTC  

i'm hoping so

2018-02-07 04:34:21 UTC  

we'll wait until March I suppose

2018-02-07 06:38:35 UTC  

MONDAY (Feb. 12, 2018)

>Minnesota State House 23B (Special Election) 

>(Republican) Jeremy Munson 


>Minnesota State Senate District 54 (Special Election) 
>(Republican) Denny McNamara
TUESDAY (FEB. 13, 2018)
>Florida State House District 72 Special Election James Buchanan is running

>Georgia State House District 175 (Special Election) John Lahood is running.

>Oklahoma State Senate District 27 (Special Election) Casey Murdock is running

2018-02-07 06:47:02 UTC  

so the GOP did manage to win in District 144 ?

2018-02-07 13:25:20 UTC  

>another 1/5 turnout race

2018-02-07 13:27:04 UTC  

how the fuck do we improve this

2018-02-07 13:27:17 UTC  

an app for Republicans to know when to go to the polls, perhaps?

2018-02-07 13:28:02 UTC  

Tbh I think turnout will be much better when it's an actual midterm

2018-02-07 13:28:12 UTC  

And not a special election

2018-02-07 13:28:50 UTC  

Like when I went to the polls for Louisiana State Treasurer, I asked the poll lady how turnout is as I usually do

2018-02-07 13:28:59 UTC  

And she said I was like the twentieth person to vote.

2018-02-07 13:29:28 UTC  

The fact was that if I weren't like, an ultra-devotee, the kind of guy who wants to do absolutely anything I can to support Trump and the Republican Party right now...

2018-02-07 13:31:05 UTC  

I wouldn't have actually known or cared to vote. In a state where state elections are usually lateterm (2019), why would you think to go to the polls in 2017?

2018-02-07 13:31:36 UTC  

Plus if your public notice system isn't very good there's a very high chance you don't know about the election

2018-02-07 13:32:06 UTC  

So I think a lot of these really small, state-district etc. special elections just might not have enough awareness that they exist to actually be useful.

2018-02-07 14:49:52 UTC  

Like I'm saying, poster campagins are a good way of alleviating this.

2018-02-07 15:09:14 UTC  

This used an old poll and things have actually improved a lot for Republocnas since then

2018-02-07 15:10:12 UTC  

Basically all of the Democrats leads come from Blue Districts

2018-02-07 15:14:36 UTC  

Democrats have these advantage: they are all in cities, all have internet

2018-02-07 15:15:27 UTC  

We should make propaganda leaflets and print a couple dozen per sheet and cut them out and distribute them

2018-02-07 15:15:40 UTC  

Maybe dump them out at universities from drones

2018-02-07 16:03:51 UTC  

neeto idea

2018-02-07 16:03:59 UTC  

I like your ingenuity

2018-02-07 16:13:26 UTC  

Shiva Ayyadurai attacked as a Nazi

2018-02-07 16:14:10 UTC  
2018-02-07 16:14:26 UTC  

@Nuke an app can help but I'm not sure how many GOP boomer voters and older it would reach