midterms-discussions
Discord ID: 399676530394923010
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75 Senators, 75% of the House, and 75% state Republican trifectas
That'd really get "The Resistance" quaking in their boots for "democracy"
What tbhe fuck did Trump do today tho
Everyone worried about WW3 now
"Get ready"
is this peace?
lol if you proved that the Democratic Party is full of child molesters, we could win by that amount, yeah
the man moves at a mile a minute
@FLanon the inconsistency is breathtaking
I can bear inconsistency when it comes to foreign affairs for strategic purposes
Not domestic policy though
If Trump's intention is to put everyone on edge over Syria, well, he's doing a damn good job of it. If it's to legitimately invade Syria, maybe this whole "madman" thing isn't just a ploy and he's actually crazy.
@FLanon its ogre
also,
this is neat
@FLanon a projection for November
what is
Oh
NOT SO FAST
That's better than a loss of congress, but we'll need at least 230 to enact the agenda.
YOU FORGOT TO PUT THE REPRESENTATIVES FROM THE STATE OF JEFFERSON
That doesn't seem accurate
In any case, we should work to it
This projection is assuming,
The GOP and Trump are in a low point at the moment, so if they still retain the house in these conditions, that's damn good.
Dems win the popular vote by 5 points
so if Dems win by a 5-6 margin, they won't take the house
anything more, than Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi
@FLanon Where do you live again? FL-15?
16
This could be a problem
Trump won FL-15 by 10 points
almost every special election has seen a D shift of at *least* 10 points @FLanon
This is the Dem trying to take Paul Ryanโs seat https://mobile.twitter.com/IronStache
Here's a midterm strategy map: win the states in red and use their influence on surrounding states to win the supermajority.
Yes, as it stands, the situation in the special elections are pretty bad
That enthusiasm gap is a bitch atm
Speaker stepping down
Baaad
Odds of keeping majority went from bad to worse >.>
60% chance Dems take the House @zakattack04
lmao @๐Boo-ton๐ @FLanon Alan Grayson was my House Rep back when I was 13 years old, still living in Orlando
Alan Grayson's daughter later went to my friends' and cousins' high school
@๐Boo-ton๐ I'm feeling 80%
I think this is her
Just because of how history
half Filipino, half Ashkenazi Jewish
The average swing for the 1st midterm is 32 seats for the Minority Party
With healthcare being the top priority of independents
Victory is near impossible
I think Trump will pull enthusiasm through the roof when it's time
but he'll do so using a government shutdown
so it'll be risky as hell
@Nuke Trump has mentioned that winning the 2018 midterms is important for him
and he's smart enough to know that invading Syria et al would fuck that up
which is why I'm not as worried as so many of the people in this Discord are
obviousyl, we all have our doubts and questions. The thing is, Trump knows certain facts as President that we don't. That's why while I still have my doubts/concerns, I think we'll pull through
also, Trump watches FOX News, and Tucker Carlson himself is talking about this
Yep.
I doubt using a government shutdown will boost only Republican enthusiasm lol
It's going to boost Democrats too
And since Healthcare is the #1 priority... That's the biggest problem
The independents decide elections and they want that free healthcare!
what makes you think independents want free healthcare instead of Obamacare being repealed
Alan Grayson was a good guy
Dem, but one of the only good ones
I liked seeing him roast Bernanke
@Deleted User some like only 20% of all voters want it repealed, the massive majority just wants it changed
(Which means Democrats won again)
But still
I don't think it leans to "free healthcare" specifically
They most likely want more public run healthcare
They want lower costs
That's it.
Which they think is single payer
Because the media has lied to them as always
Look at how popular single payer is. It's actually terrifying
Well, the Rs are going to need to advocate for ways to increase efficiency in the system and explain the costs of this system in the US and why it wouldn't work unlike in Europe.
It doesn't even work in Europe lol
it does in homogenous nations
Not really
Denmark is homogenous
And it's going through the roof their
Like 6 months of wait if you're diagnosed with cancer
In America it's a few days
Still, we'd have to explain costs and all
This is something the Rs have to fight on
Even if we do it doesn't matter because were drowned out by the constant media battage
Barrage
They control the narrative
Then take the narrative back
You can't without having a say in the media lol
There's other types of media
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