Message from @Scribblehatch
Discord ID: 501427383652450314
"Guys, panic. Blue wave. We conservatives didn't hustle enough. --STOP BRINGING UP THE 2016 ELECTION PREDICTIONS, WE'RE NOT TALKING ABOUT THAT RIGHT NOW."
I think that Republicans should believe in the blue wave at least a little bit, so that they bother to vote.
"You think I, a divine creature, can trust the wrong people TWICE?!"
"I should SMITE YOU for that."
It is true that I have not really seen any updates to methodology to match the tremendous misprediction of the 2016 general election.
I'm sure Nate Silver has said a thing or two, and maybe made some slight changes.
To be honest, bragging about impending victory only makes the enemy work twice as hard
I'm not bragging about anything.
I'm just annoyed with all the fortune tellers
Not saying you
And the people who fucking pay them.
And the people who believe in the bullshit.
Im saying whole talk about the "blue wave" probably caused them to lose votes.
STOP PRETENDING TO KNOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
That's all I'm about.
Cause people go "Eh whatever, blue wave"
Well, the predictions are bad these days
for the last 30 years it has been really easy
I knew I should have made that bet on trump winning
Hold on. Really important point here.
because it's just two terms (D), then two terms (R), in a cycle
...
Bad is not the word for what we witnessed.
I don't know if there is a word.
The 2016 election predictions were Flaberjious
The thing is, it is really easy to think you have a good model if you've been predicting the last six election cycles
They were that bad. We are never to use this word again, by the way.
Because they have been basically a pattern.
i predict shitstorm
I have hopes.
Not predictions.
I can tell you who SHOULD win.
my third eyes sees it clearly
it's coming
Senny is seeing brown.
My prediction is dems don't get their blue wave because they are making the same mistakes and doubling down.
mhm brown sky in the distance
"It will work this time guys! Let's fuck up again but twice as hard!"
Well let's be pragmatic.
maybe if we apply double the force in the same direction ,it will change !