Message from @Scribblehatch

Discord ID: 501427357450764308


2018-10-15 16:10:43 UTC  

I voted so I'm allowed to predict stuff. People who didn't need to vote before they get a say.

2018-10-15 16:10:45 UTC  

"Guys, panic. Blue wave. We conservatives didn't hustle enough. --STOP BRINGING UP THE 2016 ELECTION PREDICTIONS, WE'RE NOT TALKING ABOUT THAT RIGHT NOW."

2018-10-15 16:10:52 UTC  

I think that Republicans should believe in the blue wave at least a little bit, so that they bother to vote.

2018-10-15 16:11:07 UTC  

"You think I, a divine creature, can trust the wrong people TWICE?!"

2018-10-15 16:11:11 UTC  

"I should SMITE YOU for that."

2018-10-15 16:11:46 UTC  

It is true that I have not really seen any updates to methodology to match the tremendous misprediction of the 2016 general election.

2018-10-15 16:12:10 UTC  

I'm sure Nate Silver has said a thing or two, and maybe made some slight changes.

2018-10-15 16:12:14 UTC  

To be honest, bragging about impending victory only makes the enemy work twice as hard

2018-10-15 16:12:35 UTC  

I'm not bragging about anything.

2018-10-15 16:12:40 UTC  

I'm just annoyed with all the fortune tellers

2018-10-15 16:12:41 UTC  

Not saying you

2018-10-15 16:12:44 UTC  

And the people who fucking pay them.

2018-10-15 16:12:51 UTC  

And the people who believe in the bullshit.

2018-10-15 16:12:55 UTC  

Im saying whole talk about the "blue wave" probably caused them to lose votes.

2018-10-15 16:12:59 UTC  

STOP PRETENDING TO KNOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

2018-10-15 16:13:02 UTC  

That's all I'm about.

2018-10-15 16:13:05 UTC  

Cause people go "Eh whatever, blue wave"

2018-10-15 16:13:05 UTC  

Well, the predictions are bad these days

2018-10-15 16:13:11 UTC  

for the last 30 years it has been really easy

2018-10-15 16:13:16 UTC  

I knew I should have made that bet on trump winning

2018-10-15 16:13:18 UTC  

Hold on. Really important point here.

2018-10-15 16:13:24 UTC  

Xorgy just said the predictions are *bad.*

2018-10-15 16:13:24 UTC  

because it's just two terms (D), then two terms (R), in a cycle

2018-10-15 16:13:25 UTC  

...

2018-10-15 16:13:32 UTC  

Bad is not the word for what we witnessed.

2018-10-15 16:13:37 UTC  

I don't know if there is a word.

2018-10-15 16:13:56 UTC  

The 2016 election predictions were Flaberjious

2018-10-15 16:14:02 UTC  

The thing is, it is really easy to think you have a good model if you've been predicting the last six election cycles

2018-10-15 16:14:12 UTC  

They were that bad. We are never to use this word again, by the way.

2018-10-15 16:14:13 UTC  

Because they have been basically a pattern.

2018-10-15 16:14:22 UTC  

i predict shitstorm

2018-10-15 16:14:37 UTC  

I have hopes.

2018-10-15 16:14:40 UTC  

Not predictions.

2018-10-15 16:14:47 UTC  

I can tell you who SHOULD win.

2018-10-15 16:14:53 UTC  

my third eyes sees it clearly

2018-10-15 16:14:55 UTC  

it's coming

2018-10-15 16:15:11 UTC  

Senny is seeing brown.

2018-10-15 16:15:25 UTC  

My prediction is dems don't get their blue wave because they are making the same mistakes and doubling down.

2018-10-15 16:15:26 UTC  

mhm brown sky in the distance

2018-10-15 16:16:06 UTC  

"It will work this time guys! Let's fuck up again but twice as hard!"

2018-10-15 16:16:49 UTC  

Well let's be pragmatic.