Message from @Timcast
Discord ID: 509111995325218854
I dont participate in polls
Pew recognizes that pollsters cant reach trumps base
Too hard to predict
Granted most of the polling companies are owned by democrats.
I disagree so far. I am still watching vid though
and they totally missed it
NOTHING changed since 2016
I lurk on /pol/ though
which means R's might have a +3 lead or more
*Claps.* Bingo.
Working class people and poor people are hard to poll accurately
and Nate silver has been backpeddling HARD
It is more of guessing at this point
That's a bold prediction. We should save this.
Silver keeps posting shit about how he might be wrong
hjes shaking
If you're right, I'll buy you a drink.
not only that!
Timcast. Remember they will be voting in the afternoon.
BOTH parties give even odds for R's taking House
They will vote late. You won't see the actual voting till right at the last minute.
I do think something major happened though. The suburban women appear to have flipped hard.
It will be a repeat of 2016.
Tim's totally right on this. People are still terrified to admit that they support Trump because it gets people fired from all kinds of jobs. So no one wants to speak up if they support Trump in a situation where there's even a slight doubt.
Whereas Democrats are freely allowed to say they are one, even in republican dominated circles.
lastly
they keep saying this is a referendum on trump
if it is
They will declare their victory and then see it snatched from them.
Okay so Tim
Trumps favorability is HIGHER now than when he got elected
if the Dems win here's what you post
a video of you looking at a computer
the results
then you saying "Well, fuck."
if the dems win I post "I was wrong"
You are getting the idea now.
end video
I can see the argument. We shall see.
but im not a pollster
We still don't know much about election fraud either and that can play either way