Message from @Brue
Discord ID: 650732277432713246
does not have to be perfect, just better than normal means, same way hedge funds are able to be satisfied with 61% stock picking sucess with their multivariate analysis, it will make them a profit more than those who do not, which over time, is cumulative
@ETBrooD using large data, facebook, twitter, and census, including IMPUS data bases for ACS data, and others, firms can get a pretty good picture of how people vote, tweek their poltical message and win another 1% which matters
it works extrememly well on smaller elections
Obviously
you can buy data on small towns, and rig the elections just based off of platform pandering
Smaller scale scenarios can be predicted more accurately
from there you can see the variable which is most imporant
guess which variable is more important in our models
most important
wild guess
That the person is alive?
an assumed variable
but not the one i was talking about
How often they appear on TV and in public?
its funny because i bet you said that as a joke, but alot of dead people vote
I'm not sure what your question is about
The candidates? The voting patterns?
no the biggest variable which impacts how an indivudal will vote is their identity and race
democraft firms, and our repubicans firms, both know this
we have to push it to win
Uhm
that being said, it usually just makes about x(.3)
I'm sure you're aware more candidates have been white men
so its not even a majority of the way people vote
Like, overwhelmingly so
thats what we would see though, especially when swing states tend to be white and those being the most important
Are you talking about a candidate's chances, or the general voting patterns?
Like I still don't get what question you even posed (and therefore answered)
the variables that impact the choice of voting
for each indivudal, and then can be calculated out to determine different strategies to get a majority
There's a lot more data on this for local elections, so I guess in those cases it makes sense to apply it
hmm
cant tell if sneaky jew... or.... if hes legit
<:thinking_clown:590855640268668928>
y = (race)b1+(gender)b2+(race*gender)b3.......ect ect
@UnScottable he is the biggest jew
interaction variables and all
but bruh
@UnScottable how do you not know?