Message from @Brue

Discord ID: 650732277432713246


2019-12-01 16:12:56 UTC  

does not have to be perfect, just better than normal means, same way hedge funds are able to be satisfied with 61% stock picking sucess with their multivariate analysis, it will make them a profit more than those who do not, which over time, is cumulative

2019-12-01 16:14:19 UTC  

@ETBrooD using large data, facebook, twitter, and census, including IMPUS data bases for ACS data, and others, firms can get a pretty good picture of how people vote, tweek their poltical message and win another 1% which matters

2019-12-01 16:14:37 UTC  

it works extrememly well on smaller elections

2019-12-01 16:14:50 UTC  

Obviously

2019-12-01 16:14:52 UTC  

you can buy data on small towns, and rig the elections just based off of platform pandering

2019-12-01 16:15:01 UTC  

Smaller scale scenarios can be predicted more accurately

2019-12-01 16:15:05 UTC  

from there you can see the variable which is most imporant

2019-12-01 16:15:15 UTC  

guess which variable is more important in our models

2019-12-01 16:15:23 UTC  

most important

2019-12-01 16:15:26 UTC  

wild guess

2019-12-01 16:15:56 UTC  

That the person is alive?

2019-12-01 16:16:11 UTC  

an assumed variable

2019-12-01 16:16:19 UTC  

but not the one i was talking about

2019-12-01 16:16:37 UTC  

How often they appear on TV and in public?

2019-12-01 16:16:41 UTC  

its funny because i bet you said that as a joke, but alot of dead people vote

2019-12-01 16:16:55 UTC  

I'm not sure what your question is about

2019-12-01 16:17:00 UTC  

The candidates? The voting patterns?

2019-12-01 16:17:14 UTC  

no the biggest variable which impacts how an indivudal will vote is their identity and race

2019-12-01 16:17:27 UTC  

democraft firms, and our repubicans firms, both know this

2019-12-01 16:17:33 UTC  

we have to push it to win

2019-12-01 16:17:44 UTC  

put it into any model with big data

2019-12-01 16:18:10 UTC  

Uhm

2019-12-01 16:18:15 UTC  

that being said, it usually just makes about x(.3)

2019-12-01 16:18:20 UTC  

I'm sure you're aware more candidates have been white men

2019-12-01 16:18:25 UTC  

so its not even a majority of the way people vote

2019-12-01 16:18:29 UTC  

Like, overwhelmingly so

2019-12-01 16:18:56 UTC  

thats what we would see though, especially when swing states tend to be white and those being the most important

2019-12-01 16:19:13 UTC  

Are you talking about a candidate's chances, or the general voting patterns?

2019-12-01 16:19:30 UTC  

Like I still don't get what question you even posed (and therefore answered)

2019-12-01 16:20:00 UTC  

the variables that impact the choice of voting

2019-12-01 16:20:33 UTC  

for each indivudal, and then can be calculated out to determine different strategies to get a majority

2019-12-01 16:21:08 UTC  

There's a lot more data on this for local elections, so I guess in those cases it makes sense to apply it

2019-12-01 16:21:11 UTC  

hmm

2019-12-01 16:21:17 UTC  

cant tell if sneaky jew... or.... if hes legit

2019-12-01 16:21:23 UTC  

<:thinking_clown:590855640268668928>

2019-12-01 16:21:44 UTC  

y = (race)b1+(gender)b2+(race*gender)b3.......ect ect

2019-12-01 16:21:45 UTC  

@UnScottable he is the biggest jew

2019-12-01 16:21:50 UTC  

interaction variables and all

2019-12-01 16:21:54 UTC  

but bruh

2019-12-01 16:21:54 UTC  

@UnScottable how do you not know?