Before then they were saying we’d be under ice

I was gonna say about 20.

...so technically under water

If you include that about ... close to 60 years now

The people who I’m most interested in getting a pro opinion -

property insurers

Yep

But @Abstract Cossack keep in mind, government ruins the metrics a bit

U think anyone else im the world has a more compelling interest foe an accueate forcast?

Oh don get me started on govt numbers

You’d think tho -

Because of the “aid” programs they keep pumping out, it basically makes people unaware of the exact risk to life and property

Nah not in the way you’re thinking I reckon

private insurers should have independent metrics rigt?

The issue I’m seeing is that government “aid” after a disaster fucks the cost numbers up

mmm interesting

i didn’t consider that angle b4

Because if the insurer doesn’t have to pay out anywhere near enough to cover the cost of a natural disaster in, say, the Louisiana region because of government “aid”

Can you imagine the difference in premiums?

Or on the effect of people choosing to live in those localities?

AAAAAHHHH!

1!!11!1

yes

Right?

yup

I agree completely that government fucks up the metrics to make it seem more like a crisis

But on the other hand, they’re also screwing it up by covering at least part of the cost of natural disasters

i am always under the assumption

if there’s a way to screw it up

govt will find it

It’s like Murphy’s law but for government

makes more jobs for them

We should dub it Marx’s law

yes

Or Sowell’s law

Cause ... I’m not sure if it’s him or Friedman that summed up government for me

i like that you’ve demonstrated they have an incentive to mess up the same stats in two seemingly contradictory ways too

“If you want to perpetuate a problem, you create a government department dedicated to solving it”

I think it was Sowell but I’m not 100% certain

i’ll use that and say “a man much smarter than you’ in conversation

sounds a lot like Sowell or Friedman. Could be either very easily