If they bring in a far left leader they will be destroyed by the moderates and if they bring in a moderate the internal party wil revolt

they need to purge the marxists again

https://twitter.com/ShehabKhan/status/1182595249719390209

They're trying to shut off avenues for brexit is why

The referendum won't mean anything#

Think about it

Will if they make it legally binding

They call a referendum in which Brexiteers in the millions decide to boycott

They can't make it legally binding

No Parliament can bind the next

That's how the UK political system works

Then they'll action it themselves

And?

GE next

Which the Conservatives would win

They would just revoke it

for it to be Invoked again after the GE

Remain would win the referendum but then it would be followed up by a Conservatives victory in the Election

You'd be in dicey territory at that point because you'd then have Tories doing then what Labour are doing now - flying in the face of the public

They won't

Boris is leading them

That Labour tactic will just extend the process by a month or so

Past that it won't actually achieve anything

He needs to go nuclear if they start making a referendum a pre-requisite

The referendum will be boycotted by Brexiteers which will lead to a Remain victory which won't actually matter though because in the following GE the Brexiteers would vote and the Conservatives would win and would just invoke Article 50 again if needed

Absurdly high stakes gamble

How?

The Conservatives would win any election

Post second referendum that is not a guarantee

And their members are strongly pro-Brexit so there is no chance of a U-turn in policy

Members yes, voters no

Most of their voters are

Something like 60%

Fundamentally the Conservatives would not support Remain because there members would rebel and a significant amount of their voters would too and almost every poll has predicated a Conservative Victory in any election

Basically, Brexit is coming

Eventually

I think a second referendum will change the GE table a fair chunk, and not in their favour

How would it?

No Brexiteers would vote for a Remain party

Resurgent Brexit Party and a loss of Tory moderates

I don't think the Tory Moderates would leave