Message from @Reaper294

Discord ID: 775542835612483586


2020-11-10 02:00:24 UTC  

Red Illinois. Surreal.

2020-11-10 02:01:04 UTC  

500 samples, a bunch of instances of benford's law

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/775540500928659466/benford-500-samples.gif

2020-11-10 02:01:18 UTC  

159 samples

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/775540559989047306/benford-159-samples.gif

2020-11-10 02:01:47 UTC  

both of these are using normally distributed numbers between 0 and 19000000

2020-11-10 02:02:46 UTC  

It def seemed like a million or more votes were cheated in @realz

2020-11-10 02:03:02 UTC  

how would we know?

2020-11-10 02:03:19 UTC  

I was just showing evidence that benford's law is dubious with such a low number of samples

2020-11-10 02:04:23 UTC  

Sadly,we may not but it dosnt need to be shown on that large of a level.All that needs to happen like rob said is 10's of thousands

2020-11-10 02:05:16 UTC  

if you can prove it

2020-11-10 02:05:59 UTC  

@realz I believe thats already in the bag honestly

2020-11-10 02:06:20 UTC  

what is?

2020-11-10 02:06:36 UTC  

Takes time to collect evidence...President trump is on the defensive so he will always have to counter punch.

2020-11-10 02:07:04 UTC  

10's of thousands of votes...Id say over 300,000.

2020-11-10 02:07:21 UTC  

what makes you say this?

2020-11-10 02:07:27 UTC  

I'd like to be this convinced too

2020-11-10 02:08:11 UTC  

300,000 is a fairly specific threshold. How did you determine that floor?

2020-11-10 02:08:19 UTC  

> Red Illinois. Surreal.
@Zuluzeit
I know right, I saw that in the data and surprised the heck out of me. I knew California was on the line though.

2020-11-10 02:09:14 UTC  

Well,I feel like we would have never seen ANY evidence if they hadnt screwed up to a large degree.There's all kinds of evidence starting to come out.Even the court filings.They need time to do the investigation tho.I mean look what they did to President Trump for 4 years of his presidency.Im sure those that oppose him wanted him removed right then also.

2020-11-10 02:09:18 UTC  

Wow I didn't even notice California. Even more bizarre. I'm in Illinois.

2020-11-10 02:10:19 UTC  

@Reaper294 I have no priors that imply there was a coordinate attempt to cheat, so all the evidence that is coming out must stand the test of proof

2020-11-10 02:10:20 UTC  

Im in PA and Ill be honest biden wasnt much mentioned down here.But I did feel wierd at my polling place as they didnt ask for my license and kept walking away from the ballot machine.I thought that was Odd honestly

2020-11-10 02:11:12 UTC  

@realz Did you watch robs video tonight?beyond that benfords law is FAR from the only evidence.We just cant see it becouse people keep getting cencored

2020-11-10 02:11:18 UTC  

guh

2020-11-10 02:11:19 UTC  

@DrSammyD I am not sure what it means to weight a county by the census numbers; wouldn't that be much closer to the popular vote?

2020-11-10 02:11:47 UTC  

@DrSammyD or is the point that using 2020 census specifically skews it that much?

2020-11-10 02:12:07 UTC  

@Reaper294 I have not yet seen convincing evidence

2020-11-10 02:12:07 UTC  

Where I am, it's rare to hear anything good about Trump. I think it might depend on with whom you're hanging.

2020-11-10 02:12:25 UTC  

@Reaper294 I did just watch Rob's show, just finished this moment in fact, and I agree with Rob

2020-11-10 02:12:30 UTC  

Rob is not convinced one way or another

2020-11-10 02:12:51 UTC  

I didnt say he was

2020-11-10 02:13:00 UTC  

we are both eagerly awaiting the evidence to be examined properly

2020-11-10 02:13:09 UTC  

Is this a debate or are you discussing this like I am?just curious?

2020-11-10 02:13:40 UTC  

Looks like all the characteristics of a discussion to me.

2020-11-10 02:13:52 UTC  

Im CALMLY waiting and discussing it lol.Not interested in going down that road until Im comfortable here.

2020-11-10 02:14:01 UTC  

just asking

2020-11-10 02:14:14 UTC  

it is whatever you prefer 🙂

2020-11-10 02:14:54 UTC  

> @DrSammyD I am not sure what it means to weight a county by the census numbers; wouldn't that be much closer to the popular vote?
@realz
If you have 20 people in a county, 10 people vote, 4 for trump, 6 for biden, Biden get's 12 votes, and Trump get's 8

2020-11-10 02:15:05 UTC  

I was discussing,as I said.Not becouse there is a lack of proof but becouse its to early to be having this DEBATE.

2020-11-10 02:15:45 UTC  

That seems to have been her point.

2020-11-10 02:16:04 UTC  

@DrSammyD I see, so it is counting the popular vote of all eligible (or even non-eligible) voters, while the popular vote is only voters

2020-11-10 02:18:07 UTC  

Id think None eligable voters shouldnt count.