Message from @[Lex]

Discord ID: 454064251594866689


2018-06-06 23:05:35 UTC  

We already KNOW Democratic turnout will rise. It's just a matter of HOW MUCH.

2018-06-06 23:06:05 UTC  

And whether it'll be enough to unseat all/most vulnerable GOP seats in the state.

2018-06-06 23:07:11 UTC  

Right, TX won't flip until 2024
But based on last night's result,

2018-06-06 23:07:54 UTC  

We're going to lose CA-49, NJ-02, and the odds of losing NJ-11 have doubled

2018-06-06 23:12:10 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 this graph must be fake

2018-06-06 23:12:18 UTC  

Because RS told me right wing is on the rise

2018-06-06 23:13:01 UTC  

@[Lex] right, so if we use the Obama years as an example we're screwed

2018-06-06 23:13:07 UTC  

Because we made history in 2010

2018-06-06 23:13:29 UTC  

The 2nd largest swing since WWII in the house

2018-06-06 23:16:19 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/432618126295695380/454061003613798400/received_10214689945018788.png

2018-06-06 23:16:32 UTC  

Don't get too sad in here guys

2018-06-06 23:23:05 UTC  

@Winston But still...

2018-06-06 23:23:11 UTC  

Even though that's fantastic

2018-06-06 23:23:15 UTC  

Like anon says there

2018-06-06 23:23:18 UTC  

No one knows the true story

2018-06-06 23:23:24 UTC  

because the cable news is lying to them

2018-06-06 23:24:32 UTC  

Truth finds a way

2018-06-06 23:28:54 UTC  

@zakattack04 The swing won't be anywhere near that big.

2018-06-06 23:28:56 UTC  

I assure you.

2018-06-06 23:29:13 UTC  

This won't even be a 2006.

2018-06-06 23:29:17 UTC  

This'll be close.

2018-06-06 23:36:58 UTC  

@[Lex] lmao dude.

2018-06-06 23:37:14 UTC  

The watch dog party always has higher turnout

2018-06-06 23:37:21 UTC  

very true.

2018-06-06 23:37:25 UTC  

they're on a tear with recent elections

2018-06-06 23:37:29 UTC  

but will it be enough to unseat the significant gop majority?

2018-06-06 23:37:30 UTC  

Looking worse than a regualr midterm

2018-06-06 23:37:31 UTC  

don't think so.

2018-06-06 23:37:35 UTC  

Yes

2018-06-06 23:37:42 UTC  

The average house swing for the first midterm

2018-06-06 23:37:46 UTC  

is 32 seats

2018-06-06 23:37:56 UTC  

i would've said otherwise before these californian elections

2018-06-06 23:37:56 UTC  

According to Paul Ryan^

2018-06-06 23:38:19 UTC  

Furthermore, Republicans lost their incumbent advantage in many of the competitive districts

2018-06-06 23:38:28 UTC  

I think 22 republicans have retired or resigned already

2018-06-06 23:38:38 UTC  

We have a 23 seat majority

2018-06-06 23:40:42 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/432618126295695380/454067139553263647/DfCHxAbU0AE6ljL.jpg

2018-06-06 23:41:11 UTC  

red meat for some Colorado faggots?

2018-06-06 23:42:00 UTC  

26 tossups. in order for the democrats to win the majority, they need to win 18 of the 26 tossups, provided the republican leans/likely republican flip

2018-06-06 23:42:18 UTC  

those tossups will now have been reduced by around 5-6 and have become lean/likely republicans