Message from @Pielover19
Discord ID: 472906876548415500
(I'm actually not sure if Maine should be gray or blue in this case.)
I don't think PA is possible in anyway. So far every poll I could find has wolf with a double digit lead. He has incumbency advantage and is popular. Also, I think he just launched a campaign to raise PA's minimum wage, which is going to fire up all those working class voters in his favor.
Wagner seems like a lost cause. The main idea is to attack Wolf and cut his coattails.
Same with CA.
Governors can quickly rise and drop in popularity.
Also, here's what we should do with these focus maps. You for a positive perspective, me for a realist perspective, and one of the Californian Duo for a blackpilled perspective.
That's effectively the case already, yeah.
My perspective is generally the most realistic, IMO, but I tend to just randomly go "ah yeah this one's going red" too.
No, you're being optomistic.
This isn't as optimistic as it looks.
Keep in mind that other map I made wasn't a projection or prediction; it was just showing which states we should target.
Keep in mind the GOP is doing pretty well in the polls in Oregon.
Illinois is more than likely going blue tho
Illinois is realistically a toss-up; however, I intentionally have no toss-ups on that.
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida, red HA
Hoping Scott Walker can wing it again
Why tf is MN red!?
what in the hell...
It's a tossup.
Fail to see how that makes it Republican.
It's a tossup.
>no toss-ups, Tim Pawlenty vs relatively weak Dem
thoughts?
Fair as a no-tossup map
A lot of these Republican ratings should be stronger however.
Kemp is gonna win
That's true, yeah. Also, among the "Likely" Republican predictions here, I see no reason to classify South Dakota or Oklahoma as "Likely" rather than "Safe/Solid".
Don't we have a good guy running in Minnesota?
Jeff Johnson iirc
Yeah. but he's losing in the polls, in part due to the fact that several popular Republicans have endorsed his primary challenger.
Tim Pawlenty
Invincible in a Minnesota GOP primary
Damn
Pawlenty is losing the polls atm but I think that Johnson supporters will switch over once Pawlenty wins the primary.
Another issue for me is that I don't see Scott Walker and Tammy Baldwin winning on the same ballot.
SD is strong red
the natives don't turn out to the polls too hot
hard to get to the polls without a car
letone without alcohol in their case