Message from @Julien Blanc
Discord ID: 489568448607682572
Shieeeeeet
Come on Corey my boi!
whoa whoa whoa
noice
Damn
Might move to just likely/lean dem if this continues
what do you guys make of those IN polls recently?
i have a feeling they're really off
(1) i'm pretty sure there are laws against polling in IN
(2) someone mentioned on twitter that marist doesn't weight by education
laws against polling?
robocalls/IVR is banned
so they need to be live caller
of course the problem is
when you have a live caller, you get the bradley effect
because voting for the less socially desirable candidate shows up less
Shillver is also doing a senate forecast now? alright...
jeez, he only had a 30% chance when it came to Trump winning in 2016 but he has a 32.4% chance the Democrats take the Senate. What are your thoughts @Pielover19 @FLanon @[Lex] @Nuke
for 60 GOP - 40 DEM he calculates it at 0.1%
What did he think in early/mid-September 2016?
That's the real question.
Also
>Espy
>1 in 6
Switch Espy & McDaniel
And you'll have my prediction
right now, he gives Josh Hawley the same chance that Trump had...the day of the election
Hah
West Virginia should be AT LEAST solid red. Morrissey will win at the very least 200% of the vote.
Silver thinks that Zak Ringelstein, the Democratic candidate in Maine...is only going to get 3.3%? I know Angus King is basically a Democrat, but....
"Ringelstein"
Lord...
Not only that, but it's possible that Maine could implement STV.
and his first name is 'Zak'
hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm