Message from @Julien Blanc

Discord ID: 489583794085691403


2018-09-12 22:52:31 UTC  

And you'll have my prediction

2018-09-12 23:07:32 UTC  

right now, he gives Josh Hawley the same chance that Trump had...the day of the election

2018-09-12 23:43:37 UTC  

Hah

2018-09-12 23:45:01 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/444207280855187466/489582237483008001/Screenshot_2018-09-12_19.44.15.png

2018-09-12 23:45:02 UTC  

West Virginia should be AT LEAST solid red. Morrissey will win at the very least 200% of the vote.

2018-09-12 23:45:27 UTC  

Silver thinks that Zak Ringelstein, the Democratic candidate in Maine...is only going to get 3.3%? I know Angus King is basically a Democrat, but....

2018-09-12 23:46:14 UTC  

"Ringelstein"

2018-09-12 23:46:17 UTC  

Lord...

2018-09-12 23:46:51 UTC  

Not only that, but it's possible that Maine could implement STV.

2018-09-12 23:47:02 UTC  

and his first name is 'Zak'

2018-09-12 23:47:04 UTC  

hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

2018-09-12 23:47:16 UTC  

Which basically breaks the dude's template really

2018-09-12 23:47:46 UTC  

Because once you vote with a preference-based list, it's like...

2018-09-12 23:48:15 UTC  

40% of the population votes Ringelstein and 40% votes Brakey

2018-09-12 23:48:34 UTC  

I think that Ringelstein got arrested

2018-09-12 23:48:37 UTC  

The structure of the STV system really determines if King survives.

2018-09-12 23:48:39 UTC  

also yeah

2018-09-12 23:48:53 UTC  

But it didn't make news in Maine if I'm correct

2018-09-12 23:51:12 UTC  

yeah I hear that Maine does ranked voting...is that why Silver is only giving 3.3% to Ringelstein?

2018-09-12 23:51:34 UTC  

all the people who'd vote Ringelstein almost certainly have King as their number 2 choice

2018-09-12 23:54:10 UTC  

Probably not.

2018-09-13 16:59:29 UTC  

The ads have started to air.

2018-09-13 17:00:04 UTC  

nice

2018-09-13 23:34:54 UTC  

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4GQ-PN786g

<@&462745116768075776> what do you think of this ad

2018-09-13 23:35:30 UTC  

btw I notice that many of these ads are downvoted by lefties

2018-09-13 23:35:33 UTC  

pls upvoat

2018-09-13 23:37:31 UTC  

Not bad

2018-09-14 00:32:09 UTC  

I personally like Blackburn a lot. She has that motherly vibe.

2018-09-14 00:32:30 UTC  

She'd contribute some much needed tenderness to the GOP.

2018-09-14 00:56:11 UTC  

Mothers are the only acceptable female politicians

2018-09-14 01:57:41 UTC  

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:
Michigan: Lean Democrat to Likely Democrat

2018-09-14 01:58:08 UTC  

Why shift Michigan to likely Democrat?

2018-09-14 01:58:47 UTC  

It was bordering, but with the midterms coming so close and John James not receiving much traction, the chances here are dwindling.

2018-09-14 01:58:59 UTC  

It is still on the border, so good news may move this back to lean.

2018-09-14 02:00:15 UTC  

I think all of these seats except for the Safe blue ones can be won

2018-09-14 02:00:24 UTC  

Definitely.

2018-09-14 02:00:45 UTC  

If the candidates hit the road really hard and the Democrats let up, all of those likely and leans can fall to us.