@reagent what is your map of all the states you think we have a realistic shot of winning

i guess WV and NV if something weird happens, but i would not bet on it at all

I think we will be surprised in November

@Rhodesiaboo in a good way I hope

Yes obviously

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/aMDLml

"Our best realistic result" is to win _every_ swing state, as occurred in 2014.

Therefore, this is our best realistic result.

(New Mexico is just won by either Rich or Johnson on this map, but I regard it as competitive in part due to the lack of predictable, reliable polling for three-way races in America.)

Slow your roll a bit

Minnesota non-special is going to be safe dem

New Mexico as well, regardless of the accuracy of the polls, I will eat my shoe if either Johnson or Rich wins that race

You're probably right but if it's just a best-case map it's honestly not meant to be taken seriously.

Yeah this map looks like it's intended for a path to a constitutional amendment or something

That's because you can actually amend the Constitution with such a colossal victory as is possible this year.

https://nbcmontana.com/news/local/daines-will-be-at-daughters-wedding-kavanaugh-vote-or-no

"THIS IS FAKE NEWS.

Here is what he actually said:

>Daines told The Associated Press Thursday in a statement that two things are going to happen this weekend: There's going to be a new Supreme Court justice and Daines is going to walk his daughter down the aisle.

>https://nbcmontana.com/news/local/daines-will-be-at-daughters-wedding-kavanaugh-vote-or-no

He's going to vote for Kavanaugh on Saturday, and he will ALSO then fly out to Montana to be at his daughters wedding.

FAKE NEWS KIKES are trying to spin it like he may miss the vote."

Oh, I see.

Good

https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1048033391151644673?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1048033391151644673&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.rooshvforum.com%2Fthread-48360-page-3384.html

http://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/188189218

>"Stop being a fucking faggot dad!"

>"O-oh...okay son...s-ssorry

He's actually called N1****killer

<:GWmemetownOMEGALUL:380058735214723072>

the Randlet just hugged @fhtagn guys

share the pic

I don't have a pic of him hugging me but of him walking up

we have a group pic that I'm waiting on

looks memetastic

I walked up to him to say hello and thank him, he went for a hug

I may or may not have fangirled interally

https://twitter.com/MoveOn/status/1048301380971241472?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1048301380971241472&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fdisqus.com%2Fembed%2Fcomments%2F%3Fbase%3Ddefault%26f%3Dpredictit%26t_i%3D4602%26t_u%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.predictit.org%252FMarket%252F4602%252FHow-many-Yea-votes-will-Kavanaugh-receive-in-a-confirmation-vote-by-Oct-31%26t_e%3DPredictIt%2520%257C%2520How%2520many%2520Yea%2520votes%2520will%2520Kavanaugh%2520receive%2520in%2520a%2520confirmation%2520vote%2520by%2520Oct.%252031%253F%26t_d%3DHow%2520many%2520Yea%2520votes%2520will%2520Kavanaugh%2520receive%2520in%2520a%2520confirmation%2520vote%2520by%2520Oct.%252031%253F%26t_t%3DPredictIt%2520%257C%2520How%2520many%2520Yea%2520votes%2520will%2520Kavanaugh%2520receive%2520in%2520a%2520confirmation%2520vote%2520by%2520Oct.%252031%253F%26s_o%3Ddefault%23version%3D87588b32779e4f2b9c990292ddde7ffd

https://www.daytondailynews.com/news/president-trump-stump-warren-county-for-congressional-candidates/T75sPQO7Qe5vGLl3pdi5kO/

This is in Ohio btw.

And Renacci will be there.

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:

Missouri: Tilt Republican to Lean Republican

Nevada: Tilt Democrat to Tossup

West Virginia: Tilt Democrat to Lean Democrat

Montana: Tilt Democrat to Tossup