Message from @Yellowhammer
Discord ID: 499758837725921281
Ted currently up by 10 over Beta
great news
Et tu, Beta?
I was looking at the 2020 map recently, funny that you bring it up. I think Alabama is an instant-win. Colorado and Maine are the most vulnerable. Iowa and North Carolina are competitive, but have a republican advantage. Potential pickups in New Hampshire, Michigan, and Virginia. The presidential election alone should prevent any double digit deficits like the ones that /our candidates/ are running now. Any pickups beyond AL are pretty difficult, assuming we don't get well-known well-funded candidates. Warner is well known, and the NH Senator survived Scott Brown in 2014. If I recall correctly, that was the only swing state dems won. The good news about this map is that if we win around 54 seats then it'll be next to impossible for the dems to take the senate that year, and republicans will also be reclaiming a lot of 2018 house losses. The first half of Trump's second term will be very active!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5H2_MsWTI7s
Bredesen vs Blackburn debate
@Amsel yeah, Democrats will be gunning for Colorado, Maine, Iowa, and North Carolina
if Trump is in a really bad position, they have a good shot at all of them
if he is on track to re-election, they don't have a very good shot at Iowa and North Carolina
Oh I thought the Iowa senator up that year was Grassley.
if he is on track to winning re-election by decently greater margins than 2016, we have a good shot at keeping all of them
nah
Ernst
all the Republican Senators elected in 2014 are up
yeah
2014 being a low turnout year
lowest turnout since WWII
It will be tough for Gardner to win
I don't think it'll be impossible. I think Trump's incumbency will make him a lot more palatable to people in states like Colorado.
He should start fundraising and campaigning the literal second these midterms are over though. I think he'll sink if he loses momentum.
Gardner should start preparing for 2020 re-election....now
Declared
Derrick Blanton[2]
Dustin Leitzel, pharmacist[3]
Potential
Stan Garnett, Boulder County District Attorney[4]
John Hickenlooper, outgoing Governor of Colorado[5]
Mike Johnston, former state senator[6]
Trish Zornio, biomedical scientist[7]
Mark Udall, former Senator
Crisanta Duran, Speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives
Politicians should campaign 24/7. But he can't have any real priority until these midterms are over. Donors are all going to be more concerned about someone like Heller than a guy who's not even up for election this year.
I think Hickenlooper is the likely winner of the D primary
for CO Sen
2 years is plenty of time to build a massive war chest to drown out the inevitably competitive democratic primary.
He's the gov, right?
Governors are hard as fuck to beat in Senate races.
yeah
although
one guy here said Hickenlooper might be too old
Nah, he's only 66.
Yessssss
Did they close the NV poll? I would've preferred for them to get a larger sample.