Trump only lost Colorado by 5 though, but it didn't shift much at all from 2012

Perhaps it can be won then but Trump will have to clean up.

so if we manage to get up to 56 Senate seats this year, optimistically speaking

and if 2020 also works out really well, that's another shot at getting up to 60 Senate seats

I believe Trump has improved his image since 2016 so he likely has a better chance.

suburban voters might come home to Trump in 2020

so Colorado can be winnable

hispanics and stoners though are another thing

maybe the stoners can just stick with the lolbertarian instead of voting for the D

If he wins more of the suburban female (suburban males significantly voted for Donald) he should win it.

So he'll have to pivot hard for that vote.

He'd have to go hard on the law and order message

Or have an opponent who's too radical for the national stage

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-nvsen-2.html Nevada back up @Julien Blanc @FLanon

Ted currently up by 10 over Beta

great news

Et tu, Beta?

I was looking at the 2020 map recently, funny that you bring it up. I think Alabama is an instant-win. Colorado and Maine are the most vulnerable. Iowa and North Carolina are competitive, but have a republican advantage. Potential pickups in New Hampshire, Michigan, and Virginia. The presidential election alone should prevent any double digit deficits like the ones that /our candidates/ are running now. Any pickups beyond AL are pretty difficult, assuming we don't get well-known well-funded candidates. Warner is well known, and the NH Senator survived Scott Brown in 2014. If I recall correctly, that was the only swing state dems won. The good news about this map is that if we win around 54 seats then it'll be next to impossible for the dems to take the senate that year, and republicans will also be reclaiming a lot of 2018 house losses. The first half of Trump's second term will be very active!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5H2_MsWTI7s

Bredesen vs Blackburn debate

@Amsel yeah, Democrats will be gunning for Colorado, Maine, Iowa, and North Carolina

if Trump is in a really bad position, they have a good shot at all of them

if he is on track to re-election, they don't have a very good shot at Iowa and North Carolina

Oh I thought the Iowa senator up that year was Grassley.

if he is on track to winning re-election by decently greater margins than 2016, we have a good shot at keeping all of them

nah

Ernst

all the Republican Senators elected in 2014 are up

yeah

2014 being a low turnout year

lowest turnout since WWII

It will be tough for Gardner to win

I don't think it'll be impossible. I think Trump's incumbency will make him a lot more palatable to people in states like Colorado.

He should start fundraising and campaigning the literal second these midterms are over though. I think he'll sink if he loses momentum.

Gardner should start preparing for 2020 re-election....now

I’m sure he is

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado,_2020#Democratic_primary

Declared

Derrick Blanton[2]
Dustin Leitzel, pharmacist[3]

Potential

Stan Garnett, Boulder County District Attorney[4]
John Hickenlooper, outgoing Governor of Colorado[5]
Mike Johnston, former state senator[6]
Trish Zornio, biomedical scientist[7]
Mark Udall, former Senator
Crisanta Duran, Speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives

Politicians should campaign 24/7. But he can't have any real priority until these midterms are over. Donors are all going to be more concerned about someone like Heller than a guy who's not even up for election this year.

I think Hickenlooper is the likely winner of the D primary

for CO Sen

2 years is plenty of time to build a massive war chest to drown out the inevitably competitive democratic primary.

He's the gov, right?