Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 416410949545885707
I want to make sure a lot of you guys have it
@TrippyTurtle hmm, it's essentially a bunch of folders and images and .docs
it'll get downloaded as a .zip file
actually ....
let me dump the images in image dump
just created a new channel
you should still download the dropbox link, but I just realized a channel devoted to dumping memes and making new ones is something this server should have had from the start
@Kevin I've been up there in Northern Ireland once, it's beautiful up there
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Most in my area are pro-control sadly
But there's a few good ones, and I honestly believe that most are just being taken along for a ride
This is why the Right needs to start grassroots action
areas there are more densely populated and pro-trump/conservative are somewhat uncommon
do you goys think this map is attainable ?
less than 10% chance
this is my assessment:
Governor:
GOP Loss: 2 (Maine, New Mexico)
GOP Tossup: 4 (Florida, Illinois, Michigan, Nevada)
Dem Tossup: 2 (Alaska/Colorado, Connecticut)
House:
GOP Loss: 6 (AZ-02 (Open), CA-39 (Open), CA-49 (Open), FL-27 (Open), PA-7 (Open, PA-05), PA-15 (Open, PA-07)/WA-08 (Open))
GOP Tossup: 15 (CA-21, CA-25, CA-45, CO-06, FL-26, IL-06, KS-03, NJ-07, PA-06, TX-07, TX-23, TX-32, VA-10)
Dem Tossup: 3 (MN-01 (Open), MN-08 (Open), NH-01 (Open)/NV-03 (Open))
Senate:
GOP Tossup: 2 (Arizona, Nevada)
Dem Tossup: 4 (Florida/West Virginia, Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota)
why do you think the GOP will lose those House seats for sure
because the incumbents are retiring
_and_ Clinton won in them
also, to reclarify, the Democrats need to take down at least 24 currently red House seats to get a majority in the House right ?
every time that has happened in history, the opposition party won 100% of the time
23 net gain
so if we win those 4 Dem tossup House races, it means the Democrats need to take down 27 other GOP incumbents to compensate?
correct
why do you think the GOP will lose the Gubernatorial races in Maine and NM for sure?
unpopularity in Maine,
enormous Hispanic electorate in New Mexico
Democrats outnumber Republicans in both states 2 to 1, which only worsens the situation with energized Dem turnout
I'd assume whoever runs as a GOP Governor candidate in Maine and NM would be much more moderate
Vermont has a GOP governor
Massachusetts has one right now IIRC
the thing is, Governors tend to not be partisan to their party
a Republican Governor in Massachusetts would basically just be a liberal who doesn't want to bankrupt the state
I'd say Illinois is tilting blue as well
"As of February 1, 2018, Charlie Baker is the most popular Governor in the country.[1] Baker is running for reelection in 2018.[2]"
We'll have to know each scenario, our chances. We'll have a better idea when primary season ends in those areas. Then we've got to get into campaigning mode. Hopefully we'll have our connections with the guys over at T_D by then and all of our apparatus ready. @Ḁ̢̧̡̝̭̀̓̇̈̑yeExEye̼̘̲ͨͬ I haven't heard any recent updates on the wordpress, is that going smoothly?
Another thing, about the house, we may be able to push some people and get wins in areas where we may not expect. An actor, Antonio Sabáto Jr. is running for congress in CA-26. A blue district by all means, but like you say, @🎃Boo-ton🎃 "only a celebrity can win in California".
We can't bog ourselves in the conventional polling and the odds in each state and what's considered deep blue and red, we need a fight wherever we can put it. This hasn't been a conventional time whatsoever, wherever the tide turns, whatever it may yield, we've got to give this all we got. We need to push as hard as possible, I think the reddit stuff is our best way for this discord to drive turnout. We need to, no matter whatever the odds, push to the limit. This is what counts. The Senate has a much bigger opportunity of success than what we're making it out to be, and the House is a tough fight, but it's one which if we can salvage what we have and get seats in unexpected areas, we can make it even better than now if we do it right. Blackpills are not an option. We shall fight on the coasts, we shall fight on the plains, we shall fight in red districts and blue districts, whatever we need to. Whatever happens, if we've done all that we can, at least we can't blame ourselves.
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