Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 416411283194380288


2018-02-23 00:30:48 UTC  

let me dump the images in image dump

2018-02-23 00:30:55 UTC  

just created a new channel

2018-02-23 00:33:14 UTC  

you should still download the dropbox link, but I just realized a channel devoted to dumping memes and making new ones is something this server should have had from the start

2018-02-23 00:51:24 UTC  

@Kevin I've been up there in Northern Ireland once, it's beautiful up there

2018-02-23 01:39:10 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Most in my area are pro-control sadly

2018-02-23 01:39:27 UTC  

But there's a few good ones, and I honestly believe that most are just being taken along for a ride

2018-02-23 01:39:42 UTC  

This is why the Right needs to start grassroots action

2018-02-23 01:41:48 UTC  

areas there are more densely populated and pro-trump/conservative are somewhat uncommon

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/416409278513938442/1519346771293.png

2018-02-23 01:44:54 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/416410058952540160/mappre.PNG

2018-02-23 01:45:05 UTC  

do you goys think this map is attainable ?

2018-02-23 01:45:35 UTC  

less than 10% chance

2018-02-23 01:46:06 UTC  

this is my assessment:

2018-02-23 01:46:09 UTC  

Governor:
GOP Loss: 2 (Maine, New Mexico)
GOP Tossup: 4 (Florida, Illinois, Michigan, Nevada)
Dem Tossup: 2 (Alaska/Colorado, Connecticut)
House:
GOP Loss: 6 (AZ-02 (Open), CA-39 (Open), CA-49 (Open), FL-27 (Open), PA-7 (Open, PA-05), PA-15 (Open, PA-07)/WA-08 (Open))
GOP Tossup: 15 (CA-21, CA-25, CA-45, CO-06, FL-26, IL-06, KS-03, NJ-07, PA-06, TX-07, TX-23, TX-32, VA-10)
Dem Tossup: 3 (MN-01 (Open), MN-08 (Open), NH-01 (Open)/NV-03 (Open))
Senate:
GOP Tossup: 2 (Arizona, Nevada)
Dem Tossup: 4 (Florida/West Virginia, Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota)

2018-02-23 01:47:44 UTC  

why do you think the GOP will lose those House seats for sure

2018-02-23 01:48:00 UTC  

because the incumbents are retiring

2018-02-23 01:48:05 UTC  

_and_ Clinton won in them

2018-02-23 01:48:26 UTC  

also, to reclarify, the Democrats need to take down at least 24 currently red House seats to get a majority in the House right ?

2018-02-23 01:48:33 UTC  

every time that has happened in history, the opposition party won 100% of the time

2018-02-23 01:48:49 UTC  

23 net gain

2018-02-23 01:49:37 UTC  

so if we win those 4 Dem tossup House races, it means the Democrats need to take down 27 other GOP incumbents to compensate?

2018-02-23 01:49:46 UTC  

correct

2018-02-23 01:50:06 UTC  

why do you think the GOP will lose the Gubernatorial races in Maine and NM for sure?

2018-02-23 01:50:20 UTC  

unpopularity in Maine,

2018-02-23 01:50:37 UTC  

enormous Hispanic electorate in New Mexico

2018-02-23 01:51:39 UTC  

Democrats outnumber Republicans in both states 2 to 1, which only worsens the situation with energized Dem turnout

2018-02-23 01:53:47 UTC  

I'd assume whoever runs as a GOP Governor candidate in Maine and NM would be much more moderate

2018-02-23 01:54:00 UTC  

Vermont has a GOP governor

2018-02-23 01:54:12 UTC  

Massachusetts has one right now IIRC

2018-02-23 01:54:28 UTC  

the thing is, Governors tend to not be partisan to their party

2018-02-23 01:54:51 UTC  

a Republican Governor in Massachusetts would basically just be a liberal who doesn't want to bankrupt the state

2018-02-23 01:55:27 UTC  

I'd say Illinois is tilting blue as well

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/416412711619133460/illinois_gov.jpg

2018-02-23 01:55:51 UTC  

"As of February 1, 2018, Charlie Baker is the most popular Governor in the country.[1] Baker is running for reelection in 2018.[2]"

2018-02-23 02:48:57 UTC  

We'll have to know each scenario, our chances. We'll have a better idea when primary season ends in those areas. Then we've got to get into campaigning mode. Hopefully we'll have our connections with the guys over at T_D by then and all of our apparatus ready. @Ḁ̢̧̡̝̭̀̓̇̈̑yeExEye̼̘̲ͨͬ I haven't heard any recent updates on the wordpress, is that going smoothly?

2018-02-23 02:52:47 UTC  

Another thing, about the house, we may be able to push some people and get wins in areas where we may not expect. An actor, Antonio Sabáto Jr. is running for congress in CA-26. A blue district by all means, but like you say, @🎃Boo-ton🎃 "only a celebrity can win in California".

2018-02-23 03:07:31 UTC  

We can't bog ourselves in the conventional polling and the odds in each state and what's considered deep blue and red, we need a fight wherever we can put it. This hasn't been a conventional time whatsoever, wherever the tide turns, whatever it may yield, we've got to give this all we got. We need to push as hard as possible, I think the reddit stuff is our best way for this discord to drive turnout. We need to, no matter whatever the odds, push to the limit. This is what counts. The Senate has a much bigger opportunity of success than what we're making it out to be, and the House is a tough fight, but it's one which if we can salvage what we have and get seats in unexpected areas, we can make it even better than now if we do it right. Blackpills are not an option. We shall fight on the coasts, we shall fight on the plains, we shall fight in red districts and blue districts, whatever we need to. Whatever happens, if we've done all that we can, at least we can't blame ourselves.

2018-02-23 03:10:56 UTC  

update

2018-02-23 03:11:36 UTC  

CA-49: Trump's approval at 46/51 (HRC carried it 51/43). Makes you wonder if it could be held on to.

2018-02-23 03:12:59 UTC  

y'all remember what 90% of the polls said about the 2016 election

2018-02-23 03:13:04 UTC  

Well we're not counting on keeping that seat by normal measures, exactly.

2018-02-23 03:13:11 UTC  

credibility of polls went down the drain my man