Message from @Den

Discord ID: 423180315234664448


2018-03-13 18:03:06 UTC  

low turnout would benefit the democrats because it means a lot of GOP voters will stay home

2018-03-13 18:03:22 UTC  

@Den do you agree with my assessment

2018-03-13 18:03:44 UTC  

Earlier I said that a guy I worked with voted at 7 and there were more people at his location then during the general

2018-03-13 18:03:57 UTC  

keep in mind,

2018-03-13 18:03:59 UTC  

Horey shet

2018-03-13 18:04:06 UTC  

there are 700,000 in this district

2018-03-13 18:04:07 UTC  

And that's an area favorable for Saccone right

2018-03-13 18:04:10 UTC  

7 is not a good sample

2018-03-13 18:04:21 UTC  

He lives in Peters Township which is a very Republican Suburb

2018-03-13 18:04:32 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 lmao you think shitty polls with low counts are good samples

2018-03-13 18:04:49 UTC  

fair enough,

2018-03-13 18:05:08 UTC  

the problem with just 7 people,

2018-03-13 18:05:25 UTC  

is it's likely they are all the same in terms of region, age group, etc.

2018-03-13 18:05:26 UTC  

If we win this I think it's a good sign that the media overplayed its hand with the Blue Wave and scared Republicans out of complacency

2018-03-13 18:05:35 UTC  

remember,

2018-03-13 18:05:48 UTC  

the average swing has been +16 D in federal special elections

2018-03-13 18:06:04 UTC  

that means if Saccone can win by +5 or better, it's an improvement

2018-03-13 18:06:13 UTC  

less than +3 is a sign for the worse

2018-03-13 18:06:40 UTC  

I don't know. Lamb is really strong candidate and Saccone is really weak

2018-03-13 18:06:55 UTC  

correct, he'll lose

2018-03-13 18:07:29 UTC  

I'm saying that would explain some of the Swing

2018-03-13 18:07:40 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/423180360772354059/special_federal_elections_2017.png

2018-03-13 18:07:52 UTC  

you can ignore Alabama,

2018-03-13 18:08:01 UTC  

Montana,

2018-03-13 18:08:06 UTC  

because of the scandals

2018-03-13 18:08:18 UTC  

but how do you explain the other swings?

2018-03-13 18:09:35 UTC  

Rs are too fucking lazy atm

2018-03-13 18:09:48 UTC  

like, Jesus, what happened in Kansas?

2018-03-13 18:09:49 UTC  

You have orgs rallying dems up, which is a major problem

2018-03-13 18:10:40 UTC  

We've got to have something to energize our side to the polls

2018-03-13 18:11:25 UTC  

making a new /rsg/ thread right now

2018-03-13 18:14:05 UTC  

@FLanon is exactly right

2018-03-13 18:14:09 UTC  

that's the point i've been making

2018-03-13 18:14:21 UTC  

he's right,

2018-03-13 18:14:22 UTC  

but,

2018-03-13 18:14:23 UTC  

how?

2018-03-13 18:16:57 UTC  

A winning message, the guys at the RNC are a bunch of clowns, Ryan and McConnell are not Newt Gingrinch. Us and Trump need to drive the R constituents to the polls and remind them, the fight's not over.

2018-03-13 18:17:22 UTC  

If the average age of the discord were a lot higher I'd probably suggest running for office.

2018-03-13 18:17:33 UTC  

i think we need to focus more on the culture war than policy

2018-03-13 18:17:53 UTC  

The message can encompass that