hmmm

i'm still pessimistic

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 that doesn't make sense

Surely if turnout is high it'll be more like the Presidential race

There aren't enough Democrats in the distinct to over power Republicans. They only win if Republicans don't bother voting

@Den @Deleted User can you guys update me on turnout level as the day goes on?

low turnout would benefit the democrats because it means a lot of GOP voters will stay home

@Den do you agree with my assessment

Earlier I said that a guy I worked with voted at 7 and there were more people at his location then during the general

keep in mind,

Horey shet

there are 700,000 in this district

And that's an area favorable for Saccone right

7 is not a good sample

He lives in Peters Township which is a very Republican Suburb

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 lmao you think shitty polls with low counts are good samples

fair enough,

the problem with just 7 people,

is it's likely they are all the same in terms of region, age group, etc.

If we win this I think it's a good sign that the media overplayed its hand with the Blue Wave and scared Republicans out of complacency

remember,

the average swing has been +16 D in federal special elections

that means if Saccone can win by +5 or better, it's an improvement

less than +3 is a sign for the worse

I don't know. Lamb is really strong candidate and Saccone is really weak

correct, he'll lose

I'm saying that would explain some of the Swing

you can ignore Alabama,

Montana,

because of the scandals

but how do you explain the other swings?

Rs are too fucking lazy atm

like, Jesus, what happened in Kansas?

You have orgs rallying dems up, which is a major problem

We've got to have something to energize our side to the polls

making a new /rsg/ thread right now

@FLanon is exactly right

that's the point i've been making

he's right,

but,