Message from @FLanon
Discord ID: 429789171008405514
I don’t trust polls, after “Hillary has a 98 percent chance of winning”
not a poll
polls are a total waste of time
Honestly
This is Wisconsin
Just don't waste your time studying polls for candidates
I think on policy they tend to be more reliable.
Anyways, it's still something to keep track of, simply for the movements and how it reacts to certain events
But they pull urban areas more often.
^
not if it's random numbers
Even if it's random
They end up pulling urban areas more often.
what
Just because of proportions
Most people live in cities
So if you pull random
You're going to pull a urban voter most of the time.
that still is significant though
K
if you have random numbers it's objective
Polls can sometimes fail miserably and sometimes be extremely accurate. they're certainly worth considering
^
(random)
Not really, polls have been wrong as a whole for the last like 20 years.
2016 there were wrong everwhere
Even the national polls.
It's a matter of which polling organisation is right the most.
Online polling should definitely be discarded, landline polls are generally good
how can no one see the pattern?
PA-18: Trump job approve 49% Saccone (R) - 49%
GA-06: Trump job approve 52%
Handel (R): 52%
MT-AL: Trump job approve: 50%
Gianforte (R): 50%
The problem is polls don't depict turnout.
And to frame your marketing according to the policy concerns of your constituents.
Those are cherry picking
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 those numbers looked like whoever did them pulled them out of their ass
We've had so many elections Button Mash
You need to do every special election
there's no fucking way they just neatly match up
If they predict results then that is something to think about
Yeah he cherry pciked