@Pielover19 apparently there were times Emerson wayyyy overestimated for the Republicans (like Moore) and other times where they overestimated for the Democrats

tread with caution regardless

be weary of an incoming trend

You reading from a fortune cookie?

Democrats at a +6 lead in the generic ballot

if the election were held today, they would not be able to retake Congress

Yeah, with Dems at only +6 I think the Arizona seat is gonna go in our direction.

That poll is a serious outliner, and it would actually be MORE accurate to use landlines in this specific district, which they probably didn't do.

Is enthusiasm accounted for when we talk generic ballot btw because these have been just ungodly results we have been getting for the last few months.

I believe so

most of these polls take into account whether voters intend to vote or not

and how likely they are to (certain to vote, likely to vote, etc)

and Nate Silver's algorithm adjusts for this

https://www.mintpressnews.com/how-the-us-occupied-the-30-of-syria-containing-most-of-its-oil-water-and-gas/240601/

Umm

Wait I just read the article, it doesn't seem too significant, the US controls the gas and oil fields whoopty do, big deal. Syria is still allowed to use them

Hi everyone

Hi

http://i.4cdn.org/pol/1523965313824.png

>yfw
>yfw
>yfw
>yfw
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>yfw

@Deleted User fancy seeing you here

Holy crap those optics.

*rubs hands*

This is the best possible thing that could happen for Trump's PR.

Why do people still believes the lies about the tax cut?

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/gop-rep-charlie-dent-resigning-coming-weeks

@FLanon These are too many retirements...No way Democrats don't take the House...

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 nope

**WTF**

**SUPREME COURT RESTRICTS DEPORTATION OF CRIMINAL ALIENS**

**Supreme Court invalidates part of federal law requiring mandatory deportation of immigrants convicted of some crimes. For first time, Justice Neil Gorsuch joins with more liberal Justices to produce 5-4 majority!!!**

@FLanon **THIS IS A DISASTER AREA**

@FLanon Don't forget reunification.

is this going to be yet another non-problem like the unarmed National Guard thing

Depends on what you call a "non-problem"

It isn't really a bad ruling legally

ARE YOU KIDDING

But it's a bad ruling for us

>The Supreme Court just handed the Trump administration a loss on immigration — and Gorsuch was the tiebreaking vote
>The case the high court ruled in involves James Dimaya, a native of the Philippines who came to the United States legally as a 13-year-old in 1992. After he pleaded no contest to two charges of burglary in California, the government began deportation proceedings against him. The government argued among other things that he could be removed from the country because his convictions qualified as crimes of violence that allowed his removal under immigration law.

>The case was initially argued in January of 2017 by a court that was short a member because the late Justice Antonin Scalia's seat had not yet been filled. An eight member court didn't decide the issue, presumably because the justices were deadlocked 4-4. After Justice Neil Gorsuch joined the court, the justices heard the case re-argued. Gorsuch joined the court's more liberal justices in finding the clause too vague.

>The case is Sessions v. Dimaya, 15-1498.