Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 436036972562350081


2018-04-18 05:28:55 UTC  

and many Democrats were convinced Clinton would win, so they didn't show up to vote for her

2018-04-18 05:29:22 UTC  

It was the perfect combination of enthusiasm among the right subgroups

2018-04-18 05:29:26 UTC  

the question is,

2018-04-18 05:29:36 UTC  

can we repeat this same formula in 2020?

2018-04-18 05:29:46 UTC  

I believe for now,

2018-04-18 05:29:55 UTC  

we should assume we cannot

2018-04-18 05:30:30 UTC  

even if,

2018-04-18 05:30:59 UTC  

we manage to satisfy the White Working Class,

2018-04-18 05:31:21 UTC  

by cleansing small towns of Non-Whites,

2018-04-18 05:31:44 UTC  

there is still going to be a large segment of voters,

2018-04-18 05:31:51 UTC  

that didn't show up in 2016,

2018-04-18 05:31:56 UTC  

and are going to show up in 2020

2018-04-18 05:32:10 UTC  

they don't take the same chance they did before

2018-04-18 05:32:22 UTC  

where I'm getting at is,

2018-04-18 05:32:40 UTC  

we need to win over a new subgroup

2018-04-18 05:33:04 UTC  

the base needs to grow in order to be safe for 2020

2018-04-18 05:33:46 UTC  

White College Grads/Soccer Moms/Suburbanites are one possiblity

2018-04-18 05:34:09 UTC  

They swung away from Trump,

2018-04-18 05:34:15 UTC  

not because of his policy,

2018-04-18 05:34:22 UTC  

but his rhetoric

2018-04-18 05:35:15 UTC  

I'm not suggesting Trump should transform into a sophistic

2018-04-18 05:35:18 UTC  

far from it,

2018-04-18 05:35:54 UTC  

Hell, his politically incorrect no-filter approach is what makes him popular among the base

2018-04-18 05:37:00 UTC  

Trump has to somehow mold White Grads

2018-04-18 05:37:52 UTC  

alter them into the mindset of the White Working Class

2018-04-18 05:39:03 UTC  

Such a radical transformation of a subgroup is difficult, but not impossible

2018-04-18 05:39:37 UTC  

If time has shown anything, it's that values can flip, and flip rapidly

2018-04-18 05:40:37 UTC  

One of the reasons that College Whites don't share the same level of racial animosity as Non-College Whites,

2018-04-18 05:40:57 UTC  

is because many, don't live with them

2018-04-18 05:41:55 UTC  

The reason Whites in the Midwest shifted so hard to the right in 2016 was because the rapid diversification of the region in the last 15 years

2018-04-18 05:42:25 UTC  

Now,

2018-04-18 05:42:33 UTC  

I'm not suggesting,

2018-04-18 05:43:23 UTC  

that we should somehow relocate a bunch of Non-Whites into affluent White suburbs to make them vote Republican,

2018-04-18 05:44:36 UTC  

what I am saying is we need to somehow expose them to what it _would_ be like if they happen moved in

2018-04-18 05:45:12 UTC  

This is a theory, and I could be wrong on this for all I know,

2018-04-18 05:46:09 UTC  

but I think one of the reasons these White-Flight communities shifted blue is because the inhabitants forgot their experience among Non-Whites

2018-04-18 05:47:17 UTC  

According to the study @Walter Johnson discovered, Whites will often stop voting Republican once communities become less Non-White again

2018-04-18 05:47:51 UTC  

This short attention span among voters is common

2018-04-18 05:48:57 UTC  

I don't have a real strategy for inciting racial animosity among the population (it's happening as we speak, but it might not be fast enough),

2018-04-18 05:49:13 UTC  

so I believe it's something worth pondering until then

2018-04-18 05:49:35 UTC  

Now,