Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃
Discord ID: 436035592049131521
What is sarcasm?
Trump approval by race
By now,
the fact is simple,
Trump won in 2016 because a sense of racial resentment and cultural anxiety among White Working Class Voters
This sentiment is specific to the WWC and the WWC only
as it was clear that White College Grads walked away from Trump
Despite this, Trump was able to win because White Working Class voters went out in droves to vote for him
WWC Americans are 33% of the US adult population,
but made up 44% of the electorate in 2016
not only that,
in 2012, Obama won 36% of this subgroup
4 years later, Clinton only received 28%
However, it wasn't only WWC enthusiasm that won Trump the WH,
it was the fact Democrats weren't energized for Hillary
Obviously, Black voters were not going to show up for her like they did for Obama
and many Democrats were convinced Clinton would win, so they didn't show up to vote for her
It was the perfect combination of enthusiasm among the right subgroups
the question is,
can we repeat this same formula in 2020?
we should assume we cannot
even if,
we manage to satisfy the White Working Class,
by cleansing small towns of Non-Whites,
there is still going to be a large segment of voters,
that didn't show up in 2016,
and are going to show up in 2020
they don't take the same chance they did before
where I'm getting at is,
we need to win over a new subgroup
the base needs to grow in order to be safe for 2020
White College Grads/Soccer Moms/Suburbanites are one possiblity
They swung away from Trump,
not because of his policy,
but his rhetoric
I'm not suggesting Trump should transform into a sophistic
far from it,
Hell, his politically incorrect no-filter approach is what makes him popular among the base
Trump has to somehow mold White Grads
alter them into the mindset of the White Working Class