Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 436035592049131521


2018-04-18 03:14:49 UTC  

What is sarcasm?

2018-04-18 04:36:04 UTC  

Trump approval by race

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/436022079905595394/approval_by_race.jpg

2018-04-18 05:21:19 UTC  

By now,

2018-04-18 05:21:26 UTC  

the fact is simple,

2018-04-18 05:22:55 UTC  

Trump won in 2016 because a sense of racial resentment and cultural anxiety among White Working Class Voters

2018-04-18 05:23:30 UTC  

This sentiment is specific to the WWC and the WWC only

2018-04-18 05:23:56 UTC  

as it was clear that White College Grads walked away from Trump

2018-04-18 05:24:39 UTC  

Despite this, Trump was able to win because White Working Class voters went out in droves to vote for him

2018-04-18 05:25:06 UTC  

WWC Americans are 33% of the US adult population,

2018-04-18 05:25:14 UTC  

but made up 44% of the electorate in 2016

2018-04-18 05:25:23 UTC  

not only that,

2018-04-18 05:26:19 UTC  

in 2012, Obama won 36% of this subgroup

2018-04-18 05:26:38 UTC  

4 years later, Clinton only received 28%

2018-04-18 05:27:20 UTC  

However, it wasn't only WWC enthusiasm that won Trump the WH,

2018-04-18 05:27:40 UTC  

it was the fact Democrats weren't energized for Hillary

2018-04-18 05:28:17 UTC  

Obviously, Black voters were not going to show up for her like they did for Obama

2018-04-18 05:28:55 UTC  

and many Democrats were convinced Clinton would win, so they didn't show up to vote for her

2018-04-18 05:29:22 UTC  

It was the perfect combination of enthusiasm among the right subgroups

2018-04-18 05:29:26 UTC  

the question is,

2018-04-18 05:29:36 UTC  

can we repeat this same formula in 2020?

2018-04-18 05:29:46 UTC  

I believe for now,

2018-04-18 05:29:55 UTC  

we should assume we cannot

2018-04-18 05:30:30 UTC  

even if,

2018-04-18 05:30:59 UTC  

we manage to satisfy the White Working Class,

2018-04-18 05:31:21 UTC  

by cleansing small towns of Non-Whites,

2018-04-18 05:31:44 UTC  

there is still going to be a large segment of voters,

2018-04-18 05:31:51 UTC  

that didn't show up in 2016,

2018-04-18 05:31:56 UTC  

and are going to show up in 2020

2018-04-18 05:32:10 UTC  

they don't take the same chance they did before

2018-04-18 05:32:22 UTC  

where I'm getting at is,

2018-04-18 05:32:40 UTC  

we need to win over a new subgroup

2018-04-18 05:33:04 UTC  

the base needs to grow in order to be safe for 2020

2018-04-18 05:33:46 UTC  

White College Grads/Soccer Moms/Suburbanites are one possiblity

2018-04-18 05:34:09 UTC  

They swung away from Trump,

2018-04-18 05:34:15 UTC  

not because of his policy,

2018-04-18 05:34:22 UTC  

but his rhetoric

2018-04-18 05:35:15 UTC  

I'm not suggesting Trump should transform into a sophistic

2018-04-18 05:35:18 UTC  

far from it,

2018-04-18 05:35:54 UTC  

Hell, his politically incorrect no-filter approach is what makes him popular among the base

2018-04-18 05:37:00 UTC  

Trump has to somehow mold White Grads

2018-04-18 05:37:52 UTC  

alter them into the mindset of the White Working Class