A lot of the Right wing Populist parties in Europe have a lot of Youth Support

For instance in the French election the Youth vote was split between the Leftwing populist Melechon and the RIght wing Populist Le Pen

I don't see any reason why the same thing couldn't be replicated with Right wing populist candidates in the US (at least with white kids)

^^^This chart is important in discussing what will happen in 2020

With the election of Trump we saw a realingment of the political system with the GOP party because a more Right wing populist party similiar to the Fidesz and Law and Justice party in Poland

This was further summented with the resigning of fiscal conservatives such as Jeff Flake, Bob Corker, and Paul Ryan.

The interesting thing to see is how the Democrats will respond to this realignment

With the GOP going into a more Nationalist direction I would argue that they would respond by going in the direction an internationalist party

With a major schism between the international capitalist (the Clinton-Soros camp) and the international Socialists ( the Sanders camp)

As for 2020 my longshot guess is that there will be three main candidates representing the two groups I mentioned and the moderates that @🎃Boo-ton🎃 mentioned

http://archive.is/J6q2I

The international Capitalists will be represented by Kamala Harris, the international populist Socialists will be represented by Bernie Sanders, and the Moderates will be represented by Amy Klobluchar

Who wins out of those three I don't really know

depends who can win the Black vote

Kamala Harris is the most likely to do that then

good luck getting passed the Democratic primary in South Carolina without the Black vote

Harris has close ties to Maxine Waters

I assume Harris will pay her again to endorse her lol

6 out of 10 registered Democrats in SC are Black

Sanders' defeat was ensured when he only got 14% of their vote

Kamala's also married to a Jewish guy

So that will definitely help her with (((donors))) lol

Also if Janus wins his case (which he likely will) that will be a big blow to the democrats and make it harder for them to fund progressive causes and turn out people to vote

International Capitalist Jewish Bankers Party.

@Deleted User AHHHHHH ITS NEVER BEEN THIS CLOSE

5.5 D

The average?

Because I've seen individual polls being closer.

It's about a 5 point Lead for Democrats (45-40)

When you say never are you talking about off year elections historically?

RCP average?

yes

Holy crap!

We would win if the election was held tomorrow.

What is RCP?

The average of all polls.

So this 5.5 number is when you take all of the polls and average them together.