Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 436053376082378752


2018-04-18 06:12:02 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/436046231467327494/DGHNLUxXYAAj_Mu.jpg

2018-04-18 06:12:40 UTC  

A lot of the Right wing Populist parties in Europe have a lot of Youth Support

2018-04-18 06:13:23 UTC  

For instance in the French election the Youth vote was split between the Leftwing populist Melechon and the RIght wing Populist Le Pen

2018-04-18 06:14:08 UTC  

I don't see any reason why the same thing couldn't be replicated with Right wing populist candidates in the US (at least with white kids)

2018-04-18 06:14:59 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/436046973993353236/party_realignment2.0.0.png

2018-04-18 06:15:53 UTC  

^^^This chart is important in discussing what will happen in 2020

2018-04-18 06:16:55 UTC  

With the election of Trump we saw a realingment of the political system with the GOP party because a more Right wing populist party similiar to the Fidesz and Law and Justice party in Poland

2018-04-18 06:17:57 UTC  

This was further summented with the resigning of fiscal conservatives such as Jeff Flake, Bob Corker, and Paul Ryan.

2018-04-18 06:18:18 UTC  

The interesting thing to see is how the Democrats will respond to this realignment

2018-04-18 06:22:28 UTC  

With the GOP going into a more Nationalist direction I would argue that they would respond by going in the direction an internationalist party

2018-04-18 06:23:28 UTC  

With a major schism between the international capitalist (the Clinton-Soros camp) and the international Socialists ( the Sanders camp)

2018-04-18 06:32:11 UTC  

As for 2020 my longshot guess is that there will be three main candidates representing the two groups I mentioned and the moderates that @🎃Boo-ton🎃 mentioned

2018-04-18 06:33:12 UTC  
2018-04-18 06:33:30 UTC  

The international Capitalists will be represented by Kamala Harris, the international populist Socialists will be represented by Bernie Sanders, and the Moderates will be represented by Amy Klobluchar

2018-04-18 06:37:54 UTC  

Who wins out of those three I don't really know

2018-04-18 06:38:29 UTC  

depends who can win the Black vote

2018-04-18 06:38:55 UTC  

Kamala Harris is the most likely to do that then

2018-04-18 06:39:12 UTC  

good luck getting passed the Democratic primary in South Carolina without the Black vote

2018-04-18 06:40:01 UTC  

Harris has close ties to Maxine Waters

2018-04-18 06:40:22 UTC  

I assume Harris will pay her again to endorse her lol

2018-04-18 06:40:26 UTC  

6 out of 10 registered Democrats in SC are Black

2018-04-18 06:41:15 UTC  

Sanders' defeat was ensured when he only got 14% of their vote

2018-04-18 06:43:48 UTC  

Kamala's also married to a Jewish guy

2018-04-18 06:44:16 UTC  

So that will definitely help her with (((donors))) lol

2018-04-18 06:49:50 UTC  

Also if Janus wins his case (which he likely will) that will be a big blow to the democrats and make it harder for them to fund progressive causes and turn out people to vote

2018-04-18 10:50:03 UTC  

International Capitalist Jewish Bankers Party.

2018-04-18 14:26:03 UTC  

2018-04-18 14:26:23 UTC  

2018-04-18 17:08:09 UTC  

@Deleted User AHHHHHH ITS NEVER BEEN THIS CLOSE

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/436211346875351046/record.png

2018-04-18 17:08:31 UTC  

5.5 D

2018-04-18 17:08:38 UTC  

The average?

2018-04-18 17:08:57 UTC  

Because I've seen individual polls being closer.

2018-04-18 17:09:24 UTC  

It's about a 5 point Lead for Democrats (45-40)

2018-04-18 17:09:34 UTC  

When you say never are you talking about off year elections historically?

2018-04-18 17:09:34 UTC  

RCP average?

2018-04-18 17:09:43 UTC  

yes

2018-04-18 17:09:50 UTC  

Holy crap!

2018-04-18 17:10:03 UTC  

We would win if the election was held tomorrow.

2018-04-18 17:10:43 UTC  

What is RCP?

2018-04-18 17:10:54 UTC  

The average of all polls.

2018-04-18 17:11:14 UTC  

So this 5.5 number is when you take all of the polls and average them together.