Message from @Polls

Discord ID: 438743934001479693


2018-04-25 14:50:32 UTC  

We won't lose the Senate

2018-04-25 14:51:17 UTC  

We'll lose AZ, NV, maybe TX, but we can probably flip WV or something

2018-04-25 14:51:20 UTC  

How? If there is 17 point swings in every race

2018-04-25 14:51:44 UTC  

Most seats up in the Senate Trump won by more than 20 points

2018-04-25 14:52:02 UTC  

We'll probably lose the MS seat too

2018-04-25 15:01:10 UTC  

If the swing holds up, we'll lose TX, AZ, NV, and one if not both MS seats. We'll hold TN, but barely. And we'll need to flip 3 seats. Probably WV, IN, and MO

2018-04-25 15:02:22 UTC  

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 48%
Disapprove 50%

@Rasmussen_Poll 4/22-24
https://t.co/YFPdGGPjZ2

2018-04-25 15:09:11 UTC  

I'm going to work to make sure Marsha Blackburn gets elected

2018-04-25 15:09:27 UTC  

I think she'll be a great Senator for Tennessee

2018-04-25 15:10:38 UTC  

Also Kris Kobach for Governor of Kansas. He's great on immigration and I want him to replace Trump as president so I'll work to see him climb up

2018-04-25 15:11:31 UTC  

Evan Jenkins would also be good for West Virginia, and it's the only state where Trump's presence actually helps, not hurts him

2018-04-25 15:13:48 UTC  

As manager of California, obviously I'll work to getting Cox elected. It's an uphill battle, but not impossible.

2018-04-25 15:14:06 UTC  

Gubernatorial races tend to be more about the candidates and not the party

2018-04-25 15:31:53 UTC  

" I want him to replace Trump as president "

in 2024, sure. Not in 2020

2018-04-25 16:38:26 UTC  

Good on Trump

2018-04-25 16:51:45 UTC  

Tennessee Senate GE:
Phil Bredesen (D) 46% (+3)
Marsha Blackburn (R) 43%

@MasonDixonPoll 4/17-19
https://t.co/ksL8vFwPRt #TNsen

2018-04-25 16:53:15 UTC  

kill me

2018-04-25 16:54:03 UTC  

Hopefully it's just because of early name recognition and the polling will shift once the full blown campaigning comes along.

2018-04-25 16:54:05 UTC  

Shit I was right

2018-04-25 16:54:21 UTC  

Even Tennessee will be close

2018-04-25 16:54:50 UTC  

The House is not lost.

2018-04-25 16:55:09 UTC  

Open seats will be a massacre, but incumbent advantage will pull through big time.

2018-04-25 16:55:31 UTC  

There are 30+ Retirements for Republicans

2018-04-25 16:55:48 UTC  

A lot in deep red districts, to be fair.

2018-04-25 16:56:03 UTC  

Remember

2018-04-25 16:56:07 UTC  

20 points

2018-04-25 16:56:18 UTC  

**20**

2018-04-25 16:56:20 UTC  

**POINT**

2018-04-25 16:56:22 UTC  

**SWING**

2018-04-25 16:56:27 UTC  

But open seats (Frelenhugen, Costello) will flip.

2018-04-25 16:56:47 UTC  

I think two Republicans might compete in your seat in the general, to be honest.

2018-04-25 16:56:55 UTC  

Rohrbacher is pretty safe.

2018-04-25 16:57:30 UTC  

Trump?
More like Drumpfster amirite

2018-04-25 16:57:48 UTC  

@FLanon Phil Bredesen took the lead in March, but Marsha Blackburn is still the expected winner according to 2 of 3 analysts. The third says it's a toss-up.

2018-04-25 16:57:57 UTC  

@Nuke link?

2018-04-25 16:58:23 UTC  

Probably 270 to win.