Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 438731649740439553
There's been an average 17-point Democrat swing thus far
If that average holds up, Republicans will end up a superminority
By your logic then the Senate is a lost cause if the Democrats are swinging 17 points in every race
We won't lose the Senate
We'll lose AZ, NV, maybe TX, but we can probably flip WV or something
How? If there is 17 point swings in every race
Most seats up in the Senate Trump won by more than 20 points
We'll probably lose the MS seat too
If the swing holds up, we'll lose TX, AZ, NV, and one if not both MS seats. We'll hold TN, but barely. And we'll need to flip 3 seats. Probably WV, IN, and MO
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 48%
Disapprove 50%
@Rasmussen_Poll 4/22-24
https://t.co/YFPdGGPjZ2
I'm going to work to make sure Marsha Blackburn gets elected
I think she'll be a great Senator for Tennessee
Also Kris Kobach for Governor of Kansas. He's great on immigration and I want him to replace Trump as president so I'll work to see him climb up
Evan Jenkins would also be good for West Virginia, and it's the only state where Trump's presence actually helps, not hurts him
As manager of California, obviously I'll work to getting Cox elected. It's an uphill battle, but not impossible.
Gubernatorial races tend to be more about the candidates and not the party
" I want him to replace Trump as president "
in 2024, sure. Not in 2020
Good on Trump
Tennessee Senate GE:
Phil Bredesen (D) 46% (+3)
Marsha Blackburn (R) 43%
@MasonDixonPoll 4/17-19
https://t.co/ksL8vFwPRt #TNsen
kill me
Hopefully it's just because of early name recognition and the polling will shift once the full blown campaigning comes along.
Shit I was right
Even Tennessee will be close
The House is not lost.
Open seats will be a massacre, but incumbent advantage will pull through big time.
There are 30+ Retirements for Republicans
A lot in deep red districts, to be fair.
Remember
20 points
**20**
**POINT**
**SWING**
But open seats (Frelenhugen, Costello) will flip.
I think two Republicans might compete in your seat in the general, to be honest.
Rohrbacher is pretty safe.
Trump?
More like Drumpfster amirite