Message from @Deleted User

Discord ID: 441686382298136590


2018-05-03 19:40:11 UTC  

it's right there

2018-05-03 19:40:15 UTC  

I just told you

2018-05-03 19:40:22 UTC  

It was one poll done by Fox News online

2018-05-03 19:40:27 UTC  

Even if there is a Jones +10 poll, so what?

2018-05-03 19:40:31 UTC  

All he actually polls done by polling agencies

2018-05-03 19:40:32 UTC  

so what if it was done by Fox News

2018-05-03 19:40:42 UTC  

Who cares about the polls?

2018-05-03 19:40:43 UTC  

Where they mailed people

2018-05-03 19:40:45 UTC  

the point is....there is no guarantee that Democrats will OVERPERFORM relative to POLL RESULTS

2018-05-03 19:40:50 UTC  

Put Moore at an advanatge

2018-05-03 19:40:55 UTC  

which means that they are NOT GUARANTEED to win Wisconsin

2018-05-03 19:40:56 UTC  

True

2018-05-03 19:41:10 UTC  

But there is 95% chance they will overperform

2018-05-03 19:41:15 UTC  

Rebecca Dallet had a very strong victory in Wisconsin

2018-05-03 19:41:29 UTC  

Even if you take out Milwaukee and Madison from the election totals

2018-05-03 19:41:31 UTC  

She still won

2018-05-03 19:43:25 UTC  

>95% chance

2018-05-03 19:43:27 UTC  

ahahahahahahaha

2018-05-03 19:43:41 UTC  

Democrats have done better than polls in most races so far

2018-05-03 19:43:47 UTC  

@Deleted User Wisconsin SC was a sleeper election

2018-05-03 19:43:59 UTC  
2018-05-03 19:44:08 UTC  

Even so it shows that Democrats are now the majority of the hardcore electorate

2018-05-03 19:44:20 UTC  

it's May, not November

2018-05-03 19:44:23 UTC  

The people who will vote in even the tiniest elections (including ones like this)

2018-05-03 19:45:15 UTC  

Reminder that 2 days ago Rs overperformed in every district compared to Trump's margin

2018-05-03 19:45:24 UTC  

One by 45 points

2018-05-03 19:45:24 UTC  

"The people who will vote in even the tiniest elections (including ones like this)"

are not the same amount as the total number of people voting in a general election

2018-05-03 19:45:35 UTC  

All is within reach, never limit yourself

2018-05-03 19:45:39 UTC  

They are still the people who will 100% vote

2018-05-03 19:45:52 UTC  

And even in big elections (like Virginia's governors race)

2018-05-03 19:46:08 UTC  

we saw a poor turnout at best from Republican areas

2018-05-03 19:47:38 UTC  

Ok I did the maths on that earlier claim

2018-05-03 19:47:44 UTC  

because Gillespie was someone like you and zak and BM

2018-05-03 19:48:02 UTC  

Removing the vote from Milwaukee and Dane counties puts Dallet on 362,000 votes

2018-05-03 19:48:11 UTC  

And Screnock on 370,000

2018-05-03 19:49:07 UTC  

Grim numbers when you remember that Milwaukee and Dane counties do actually exist

2018-05-03 19:55:10 UTC  

new roles , thanks to @WildRooHuntingTutorials for suggesting

2018-05-03 19:55:21 UTC  

@Urban , @Suburban, @Rural

2018-05-03 19:56:31 UTC  

Suburban here

2018-05-03 19:56:49 UTC  

Suburban

2018-05-03 19:57:42 UTC  

Urban for me