>blames it on X factors

they don't happen by magic....

>muh 20 point swings that will always happen because Dems r da best and Drumpf sux

Am I wrong that we shouldn't go in with the mindset that we've already lost when we're trying to win?

The thing is if we decide it's all futile anyways, then it demotivates and depresses our effort, it doesn't rally us to work as hard as possible. The reason I have to keep re-iterating it is because you guys don't seem to get it or simply don't care.

And if you don't care, why be here?

<@&432627153805377536> <@&399683356218097667> by the way, for the primaries on May 15 (this upcoming Tuesday)...it seems the only thing we'll be looking at are the numbers in Pennsylvania

remember, just because the Republicans get more votes in the primaries does not mean they're taking Pennsylvania, and vice versa

also, at this point, it seems like it's pretty much a done deal that Lou Barletta is going to be our guy against Bob Casey. I'm hearing next to nothing about Jim Christiana

also, what we should focus on right now is making memes and written posts about

Mike Braun vs Joe Donnelly in Indiana

Jim Renacci vs Sherrod Brown in Ohio

Patrick Morrissey vs Joe Manchin in West Virginia

gotta make quick rundown articles on each of these races, now that we know who the nominees are

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 49%
Disapprove 49%

@Rasmussen_Poll 5/8-10
https://t.co/YFPdGGPjZ2

Opposition dirt is what's important

https://www.apnews.com/amp/6d7d48ba7ae3420982c313192549805f
This is some stuff on Joe Donnelly we've had for a while, use it.

it seems Rasmussen is oscillating around the 50% mark

Yeah, not really much to say about it.

@FLanon Agreed. The Media and Democrats were way more sure that they would win in 2016 then they are now. The evidence of a Blue Wave is very murky.

@Den it's beyond murky

It's not confirmed like they act

But there is substantial evidence, both contemporary and historical that support the notion of a massive democratic pickup in the house for this midterms.

And not just the house, but across the board

I will say this,

whether Republicans or Democrats will control the House in 2019,

it will by a very small majority

a 1 to 3 seat majority, I imagine

it'll be quite a close race in November

@FLanon also, the argument that just because button and I are not solely dedicated to evidence only supporting our goal leads to a lack of motivation is just not accurate. That is you trying to conflate two different things so you can crack down on the very possible realities being proposed that you don't want to hear.

it ain't about not wanting to hear it

it's about wanting to not let it clog this Discord up

so that we can focus on actually actualizing a change

If there's good news, I'll discuss it

But there's rarely good news

also your analysis is surface level and basic af

"This is a strategy discord" doesn't invalidate the discussion of all possible outcomes that aren't best for us. Whether you like it or not the things button and I bring up are relevant in the election and in how we will need to form our strategy. Just because we're not sucking on the Republican cock doesn't mean we're "taking away your motivation"

it has to be basic so brainlets like you can comprehend it <:tfwtoointelligent:422441104391274497>

Exactly, about the good news point you said earlier button.

I am happy any day to celebrate good news.

Like Rick Scott being ahead of Nelson

But the vast majority of news is terrible for us right now, and it needs to be talked about

The point is that the level you two have been doing at has come to the point of being counter-productive

Yeah, I get it, we need to know where to place our priorities

But we know by know ten-fucking-fold.

We know the risks, we know our odds, but the repetition has come to the point of cigarrete commercials. We've spent next to no time putting out actual content and most of our time talking about the current events, and we shouldn't do that if we want to maximize the odds.

Whether the outlook is bad or if it's good doesn't matter, we have to be at our absolute maximum workload. There's two sides we should not be on, hubris and futility. Too much hubris and you do nothing out of the certainty of success, too much futility and you do nothing out of the certainty of losing. We can't be on either side of that, and it is blatantly obvious that this place is getting dragged to the latter.

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 45%
Disapprove 53%

@Reuters/@_Ipsos, Among Registered Voters, 5/4-8
https://t.co/tYQVJcGPwn https://t.co/DWz8a1GyvY

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 44%
Disapprove 54%

@Reuters/@_Ipsos 5/4-8
https://t.co/tYQVJcGPwn https://t.co/PMve10LjGS