Message from @Polls
Discord ID: 446340181641920523
@Deleted User I was mostly referencing PA-18, and the fact of the new map for PA
But as for the primaries yeah
It could've been worse
Wasn't great news but sure
RT @baseballot: The AP has called #IDgov on the Republican side for Lt. Gov. Brad Little, the establishment pick. He leads Raúl Labrador 38…
Blagh
Neocons win in Idaho
Oh well
A republican is a republican
Better than a democrat
Is that.. an ebonics.. bible?
*In the name of God*
>he's tied himself to Drumpf too much
Lmao, I had an argument not a few days ago on here that if wall funding didn't come by October that I was finished with the Trump train for good.
All over the fucking place I swear
And the Kara Eastman stuff is good news, but that turnout is pretty disconcerting.
Are you being serious lol
about what
Oh okay you were
I thought you were mocking someone
PA is a red state but the cities have much more voting power then the countryside.
Crystal Ball House Ratings change: Rep. Don Bacon (R, NE-2) goes from Toss-up to Leans R after Kara Eastman's victory
lel
if I was like BM or Zak I'd spam this Discord with RED STORM INCOMING based on this flip from D to R
"In the March 13 special congressional election between Democrat Conor Lamb and Republican Rick Saccone, Lamb dominated the contest, winning the majority of the precincts within the 48th and all in both Washington and Canonsburg.
Asked a month ago how he expected to get a different result from the same pool of voters who overwhelmingly chose a Democrat, he replied, “I’ve knocked on 6,000 doors.” He had apparently added another 2,000 households during the intervening weeks."
"This was a BIG win in this district. The GOP didn’t field a candidate here in 2016. In 2014, a red wave year, the Rats held this seat by a 58-41 margin. In March, Conor Lamb won this by 5.
The GOP fielded a really good, pro-life and pro-second Amendment candidate and crushed the Rats here last night."
this shows why
>muh trends
>muh incoming blue wave
FALLS FLAT
in the face of a solid R candidate
@FLanon what's your take on this
I don't have too much info on this particular result, it's good to have whitepills, to overperform, and we should build on this, but at the moment I don't reallt have a take.
I'd say last night in PA was a good thing because of how much closer the lt. gubernatorial election was (which was the metric we used for this election). On NE-02, I'm a bit more skeptical to move it into lean R territory because of the major increase in dem primary vote compared to 2014. Eastman winning is great, but I think that we should consider this more of a tossup because of the total primary vote.
I'm also gonna be gone for this afternoon because of some IRL business I have to take care of
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 >a single representative seat in a red district goes from toss up to leaning R and RS and FLanon consider it a great victory
That's no evidence of a red storm
A red storm means we need to see evidence of taking seats, not getting a slight advantage In a district that should be a likely R to begin with.
the thing is, arguably a Berniecrat has a better chance in such areas than a boring corporate D
so Eastman might actually have a better chance
"great victory"
I called it a tossup! I was more blackpilled on that seat than BM