Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 468203333601984512
Whom Harris helped campaign for
The most popular politician right now amoung the "woke " black crowd is Mad Maxine
I think she would endorse and support Harris over Booker
Since they're both from California and she's endorsed her in the past
With that I think Harris would have the most support among Black voters , and win most of the southern states,
Mid-March Contests
Florida: corporate Democrat vote split among Booker, Harris, and Gillibrand. Warren is #1
Illinois: Warren by quite a bit
Kansas: Warren by quite a bit
Louisiana: Booker, with Harris slightly behind.
Maine: Warren by quite a bit
Michigan: Warren by quite a bit
Mississippi: same as Lousiana
Missouri: Warren by a little bit
Nebraska: Warren by quite a bit
North Carolina: Booker, with Harris slightly behind.
North Mariana Islands: uhh, Booker with Harris slightly behind I guess
Ohio: I think it's mostly split evenly, with Warren taking a slight edge
so by this point, Warren becomes the definitive frontrunner.
Julian Castro and Kirsten Gillibrand will have probably dropped out
they'll probably endorse Warren. Donors might start pressuring Harris to drop out so it becomes Booker vs Warren
You also have to remeber that Black women vote a lot more than Black men so I think that will give Harris an advantage over Booker with Black voters
so now, let's assume it's Elizabeth Warren, Corey Booker, Kamala Harris
Late March / Early April contests
Alaska: Warren by a landslide
Arizona: Warren by a little bit
Democrats Abroad: Warren by quite a bit
Hawaii: Warren by a landslide
Idaho: Warren by a landslide
Utah: Warren by a landslide:
Wisconsin: Warren by a landslide
Wyoming: Warren by quite a bit
@Walter Johnson hmm, maybe you can replace Booker's leads with Harris, so you can say that it's Harris with a slight lead in many of these states with Booker slightly behind
so after those races^ ...I think pressure is enormously put on Booker or Harris to withdraw. Let's assume that @Walter Johnson is right and give all those southern states with blacks to Harris instead, so it's her at #1 in them instead of Booker
so it boils down to two women, Warren and Harris. I think there will be talk of Harris being Warren's running mate
All this is assuming Sanders and Biden don't run though, right?
Late April and May:
New York: Harris, but not as much of a disparity as in 2016 where Hillary had 58% and Sanders had 42%
Connecticut: Warren by a little bit
Delaware: same as New York
Pennsylvania: neck and neck, Harris at a slight lead
Rhode Island: Warren by quite a bit
Indiana: Warren by a little bit
Guam: Harris by a little bit
West Virginia: Warren by quite a bit
Kentucky: neck and neck
Oregon: Warren by quite a bit
Warren becomes the presumptive nominee, and I think she probably offers the VP slot to Harris at this point
@Walter Johnson yes, all this is assuming Biden and Sanders aren't running (old age or in the ground)
actually...assuming Warren hasn't gotten enough delegates yet by this point yet...hmm
June Contests
Virgin Islands: Harris by quite a bit
Puerto Rico: Harris by a little bit
California: Harris by quite a bit...maybe by a borderline landslide
Montana: Warren by a little bit
New Jersey: Harris by quite a bit, especially if she has Booker's endorsement
New Mexico: Harris by a little bit
South Dakota: neck and neck
District of Columbia: Harris by a landslide
hmm, so I'm not sure. I gotta see what the exact numbers are
>2,382 delegate votes needed to win
so....
let's see if Warren has the numbers
I'll estimate
Iowa: 25 delegates
New Hampshire: 18 delegates
Nevada: 19 delegates
South Carolina: 14 delegates
Alabama: 9 delegates
American Samoa: 2 delegates
Arkansas: 11 delegates
Colorado: 45 delegates
Georgia: 30 delegates
Massachusetts: 80 delegates
Minnesota: 70 delegates
Oklahoma: 25 delegates
Tennessee: 23 delegates
Texas: 70 delegates
Vermont: 15 delegates
Virginia: 36 delegates
btw, my reasoning is
-I think Sanders might endorse Warren before deciding not to run or leaving this plane of existence
-everyone other than Warren might be seen as another version of Hillary, except younger and with darker skin
-everyone other than Warren might split the vote
so I'd be betting on Warren, assuming all of that
Sanders and Biden have given a lot of signals that they're going to run
Florida: 76 delegates
Illinois: 80 delegates
Kansas: 27 delegates
Lousiana: 15 delegates
Maine: 19 delegates
Michigan: 77 delegates
Mississippi: 6 delegates
Missouri: 37 delegates
Nebraska: 19 delegates
North Carolina: 50 delegates
North Mariana Islands: 3 delegates
Ohio: 67 delegates
So that would complicate things
@Walter Johnson yeah, but they're really old
maybe they still run, but this scenario assumes they don't for simplicity
so is Warren
Warren
>Born: June 22, 1949 (age 69 years), Oklahoma City, OK
hmm, I suppose so
I mean, she'd at least be younger than Trump
Yeah even if they run they would have a big dissadvantage
maybe Booker and Harris can play their youth as a strength
since they're FUCKING WHITE MALES!!!!