Message from @[Lex]

Discord ID: 482486164574437386


2018-08-24 09:31:56 UTC  

this would be such a maga map

2018-08-24 09:32:01 UTC  

not realistic in the slightest

2018-08-24 09:32:04 UTC  

but maga af

2018-08-24 09:32:09 UTC  

AZ prolly going d

2018-08-24 09:32:15 UTC  

nv is suprisingly close tho

2018-08-24 09:32:22 UTC  

and az is v similar to nv

2018-08-24 09:40:05 UTC  

I say NV goes blue (it could really go either way though tbh, RCP average favours Rosen by only 0.6%, AZ goes blue (we'll have to wait until the GOP primary is over to make a meaningful projection tbh), IN goes red (very red state, Donnelly has low favourables), FL goes red (Rick Scott is much more well-liked than Nelson and RCP avg. favours him), MO goes red (Hawley has better optics and the RCP avg favours him), ND goes red (RCP avg. favours Cramer rn), WV stays blue (Manchin is still well-liked as a usually conservative Democrat, esp. if he votes Kavanaugh. RCP average favours him significantly too), MT stays blue (very popular senator).

2018-08-24 09:40:30 UTC  

So I'd say it'll be 53-47.

2018-08-24 09:41:42 UTC  

We'll pick AL back up in 2021.

2018-08-24 09:42:25 UTC  

But it could easily be 55 also.

2018-08-24 09:42:36 UTC  

Getting 55 seats isn't completely improbable.

2018-08-24 09:42:56 UTC  

But I HIGHLY doubt we'll get any more than that.

2018-08-24 09:43:15 UTC  

I do not think we'll pick up Montana or West Virginia, the next most vulnerable states.

2018-08-24 09:44:13 UTC  

In a perfect world, we'd get 57-43.

2018-08-24 09:44:49 UTC  

We can use these "conservative" Democrats to our legislative advantage however.

2018-08-24 09:45:07 UTC  

I strongly believe Donnelly and Manchin will vote for Kavanaugh.

2018-08-24 09:46:19 UTC  

God forgive us if we allow Sinema to win the Arizona senate seat however.

2018-08-24 09:46:25 UTC  

a truly dark day.

2018-08-24 09:46:52 UTC  

The second sodomite in the Senate then I believe.

2018-08-24 09:47:25 UTC  

It's a tragedy that we very likely won't take the governorship in Colorado either.

2018-08-24 09:47:45 UTC  

Since a homosexual Jew will be its governor.

2018-08-24 11:58:45 UTC  

what is your opinion on trump?

2018-08-24 13:12:39 UTC  

I'd like to remind y'all that securing the House is more important than the Senate

2018-08-24 13:13:05 UTC  

Well, not necessarily more important, but we stand to lose more

2018-08-24 13:13:39 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/482537979244707840/image0-1.png

2018-08-24 13:15:14 UTC  

@[Lex] 23 turning 24

2018-08-24 13:15:34 UTC  

@Diethard you mean the House of Representatives

2018-08-24 13:15:49 UTC  

Congress comprises both the House AND the Senate

2018-08-24 13:16:55 UTC  

"I say NV goes blue (it could really go either way though tbh, RCP average favours Rosen by only 0.6%, AZ goes blue (we'll have to wait until the GOP primary is over to make a meaningful projection tbh), IN goes red (very red state, Donnelly has low favourables), FL goes red (Rick Scott is much more well-liked than Nelson and RCP avg. favours him), MO goes red (Hawley has better optics and the RCP avg favours him), ND goes red (RCP avg. favours Cramer rn), WV stays blue (Manchin is still well-liked as a usually conservative Democrat, esp. if he votes Kavanaugh. RCP average favours him significantly too), MT stays blue (very popular senator)."

it's August 24, not November 5

2018-08-24 14:21:23 UTC  

Did anyone else see the news about North Korea openly calling for a treaty to end the Korean War

2018-08-24 14:25:07 UTC  

We could see the end of the Korean War on our hands

2018-08-24 14:27:51 UTC  

that was a while ago.

2018-08-24 14:36:16 UTC  

No, they didn’t actually sign a treaty, they just made motions towards ending it. This would officially end the war as a whole

2018-08-24 15:04:50 UTC  

The best possible thing for us is to have a big Korean treaty about a week before Nov 6.

2018-08-24 15:09:07 UTC  

well, sure, but I can think of quite a few things that would be even better

2018-08-24 15:25:26 UTC  

Blue Scare boys.

2018-08-24 15:25:31 UTC  

It's going to be the next IOTBW

2018-08-24 15:29:09 UTC  

I think that defeating Tom Wolf should be priority #1.

2018-08-24 16:05:34 UTC  

hmm