Message from @[Lex]
Discord ID: 482484640893108244
I put pragmatism before ideology in all cases
I have shifted a bit around teen years as i imagine all do
@Deleted User so you're 23-24?
senate map is turning out pretty good
we flipping TN
or rather
holding TN
flipping MO
flipping FL
flipping IN
nevada looking good for heller
this would be such a maga map
not realistic in the slightest
but maga af
AZ prolly going d
nv is suprisingly close tho
and az is v similar to nv
I say NV goes blue (it could really go either way though tbh, RCP average favours Rosen by only 0.6%, AZ goes blue (we'll have to wait until the GOP primary is over to make a meaningful projection tbh), IN goes red (very red state, Donnelly has low favourables), FL goes red (Rick Scott is much more well-liked than Nelson and RCP avg. favours him), MO goes red (Hawley has better optics and the RCP avg favours him), ND goes red (RCP avg. favours Cramer rn), WV stays blue (Manchin is still well-liked as a usually conservative Democrat, esp. if he votes Kavanaugh. RCP average favours him significantly too), MT stays blue (very popular senator).
So I'd say it'll be 53-47.
But it could easily be 55 also.
Getting 55 seats isn't completely improbable.
But I HIGHLY doubt we'll get any more than that.
I do not think we'll pick up Montana or West Virginia, the next most vulnerable states.
In a perfect world, we'd get 57-43.
We can use these "conservative" Democrats to our legislative advantage however.
I strongly believe Donnelly and Manchin will vote for Kavanaugh.
God forgive us if we allow Sinema to win the Arizona senate seat however.
a truly dark day.
The second sodomite in the Senate then I believe.
It's a tragedy that we very likely won't take the governorship in Colorado either.
Since a homosexual Jew will be its governor.
what is your opinion on trump?
I'd like to remind y'all that securing the House is more important than the Senate
Well, not necessarily more important, but we stand to lose more
@[Lex] 23 turning 24
@Diethard you mean the House of Representatives
Congress comprises both the House AND the Senate
"I say NV goes blue (it could really go either way though tbh, RCP average favours Rosen by only 0.6%, AZ goes blue (we'll have to wait until the GOP primary is over to make a meaningful projection tbh), IN goes red (very red state, Donnelly has low favourables), FL goes red (Rick Scott is much more well-liked than Nelson and RCP avg. favours him), MO goes red (Hawley has better optics and the RCP avg favours him), ND goes red (RCP avg. favours Cramer rn), WV stays blue (Manchin is still well-liked as a usually conservative Democrat, esp. if he votes Kavanaugh. RCP average favours him significantly too), MT stays blue (very popular senator)."
it's August 24, not November 5