Message from @[Lex]

Discord ID: 482484640893108244


2018-08-24 07:26:30 UTC  

I put pragmatism before ideology in all cases

2018-08-24 07:26:50 UTC  

I have shifted a bit around teen years as i imagine all do

2018-08-24 08:15:51 UTC  

@Deleted User so you're 23-24?

2018-08-24 09:26:18 UTC  

senate map is turning out pretty good

2018-08-24 09:26:21 UTC  

we flipping TN

2018-08-24 09:26:35 UTC  

or rather

2018-08-24 09:26:36 UTC  

holding TN

2018-08-24 09:26:39 UTC  

flipping MO

2018-08-24 09:26:45 UTC  

flipping FL

2018-08-24 09:26:50 UTC  

flipping IN

2018-08-24 09:26:59 UTC  

nevada looking good for heller

2018-08-24 09:31:52 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/482482166521921546/unknown.png

2018-08-24 09:31:56 UTC  

this would be such a maga map

2018-08-24 09:32:01 UTC  

not realistic in the slightest

2018-08-24 09:32:04 UTC  

but maga af

2018-08-24 09:32:09 UTC  

AZ prolly going d

2018-08-24 09:32:15 UTC  

nv is suprisingly close tho

2018-08-24 09:32:22 UTC  

and az is v similar to nv

2018-08-24 09:40:05 UTC  

I say NV goes blue (it could really go either way though tbh, RCP average favours Rosen by only 0.6%, AZ goes blue (we'll have to wait until the GOP primary is over to make a meaningful projection tbh), IN goes red (very red state, Donnelly has low favourables), FL goes red (Rick Scott is much more well-liked than Nelson and RCP avg. favours him), MO goes red (Hawley has better optics and the RCP avg favours him), ND goes red (RCP avg. favours Cramer rn), WV stays blue (Manchin is still well-liked as a usually conservative Democrat, esp. if he votes Kavanaugh. RCP average favours him significantly too), MT stays blue (very popular senator).

2018-08-24 09:40:30 UTC  

So I'd say it'll be 53-47.

2018-08-24 09:41:42 UTC  

We'll pick AL back up in 2021.

2018-08-24 09:42:25 UTC  

But it could easily be 55 also.

2018-08-24 09:42:36 UTC  

Getting 55 seats isn't completely improbable.

2018-08-24 09:42:56 UTC  

But I HIGHLY doubt we'll get any more than that.

2018-08-24 09:43:15 UTC  

I do not think we'll pick up Montana or West Virginia, the next most vulnerable states.

2018-08-24 09:44:13 UTC  

In a perfect world, we'd get 57-43.

2018-08-24 09:44:49 UTC  

We can use these "conservative" Democrats to our legislative advantage however.

2018-08-24 09:45:07 UTC  

I strongly believe Donnelly and Manchin will vote for Kavanaugh.

2018-08-24 09:46:19 UTC  

God forgive us if we allow Sinema to win the Arizona senate seat however.

2018-08-24 09:46:25 UTC  

a truly dark day.

2018-08-24 09:46:52 UTC  

The second sodomite in the Senate then I believe.

2018-08-24 09:47:25 UTC  

It's a tragedy that we very likely won't take the governorship in Colorado either.

2018-08-24 09:47:45 UTC  

Since a homosexual Jew will be its governor.

2018-08-24 11:58:45 UTC  

what is your opinion on trump?

2018-08-24 13:12:39 UTC  

I'd like to remind y'all that securing the House is more important than the Senate

2018-08-24 13:13:05 UTC  

Well, not necessarily more important, but we stand to lose more

2018-08-24 13:13:39 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/482537979244707840/image0-1.png

2018-08-24 13:15:14 UTC  

@[Lex] 23 turning 24

2018-08-24 13:15:34 UTC  

@Diethard you mean the House of Representatives

2018-08-24 13:15:49 UTC  

Congress comprises both the House AND the Senate

2018-08-24 13:16:55 UTC  

"I say NV goes blue (it could really go either way though tbh, RCP average favours Rosen by only 0.6%, AZ goes blue (we'll have to wait until the GOP primary is over to make a meaningful projection tbh), IN goes red (very red state, Donnelly has low favourables), FL goes red (Rick Scott is much more well-liked than Nelson and RCP avg. favours him), MO goes red (Hawley has better optics and the RCP avg favours him), ND goes red (RCP avg. favours Cramer rn), WV stays blue (Manchin is still well-liked as a usually conservative Democrat, esp. if he votes Kavanaugh. RCP average favours him significantly too), MT stays blue (very popular senator)."

it's August 24, not November 5