Message from @FLanon

Discord ID: 484385181646454785


2018-08-29 03:23:40 UTC  

Loved it so much, enjoy it while it lasts my friend @Vaghar

2018-08-29 03:25:03 UTC  

I bet I will, I love history. The class I fear the most though is AP Lit

2018-08-29 03:25:50 UTC  

AP Euro was a very fun class

2018-08-29 03:52:08 UTC  

@Borb Back

2018-08-29 03:52:32 UTC  

So why cant the same be said for weed?

2018-08-29 03:52:59 UTC  

Why do you fear AP lit

2018-08-29 04:09:08 UTC  

@Vaghar tl;dr Controlled Substances Act prohibits marijuana

2018-08-29 04:11:55 UTC  

Well yes, of course

2018-08-29 04:12:24 UTC  

Though this is a discussion on marijuana legality, not saying that people should use it

2018-08-29 05:27:34 UTC  

GOP turnout is not low (it's about the same as 2014). It’s Dem turnout that’s high. And that’s what could cost the GOP the House.

Typically in midterms there is a turnout drop off with younger voters and non-college educated voters.

The first dropoff favors the GOP. The latter dropoff didn’t matter...until 2016 (when Trump won them over) and now that could hurt the GOP (because they're now Trump's base).

As these elections have shown, turnout among whites with a college degree is up, and even higher among women in that subgroup.

While the Obama-Trump voter still exists, the issue, again, is that they may not show up this time. But that may not matter for 2020.

Moving from a 2018 to a 2020 electorate may help Trump on balance, even with higher younger turnout (won't be that high anyway).

Obama-Trump voters will be more likely to show up then, so college educated whites won't have as much weight then.

2018-08-29 05:48:34 UTC  
2018-08-29 05:48:37 UTC  

EMERGENCY

2018-08-29 05:48:40 UTC  

VC

2018-08-29 10:15:29 UTC  

What happened last night?

2018-08-29 15:02:46 UTC  

>I agree with Medicare for All
>I want a Medicaid expansion
https://twitter.com/wiredsources/status/1034801326209814529

2018-08-29 15:03:59 UTC  

I really hope there is a debate set up, this along with wanting to abolish ICE and believing a corporate tax increase is a tax cut, not the sharpest knife in the drawer

2018-08-29 15:12:00 UTC  

@[Lex] GOP turnout is low in the special elections but high in the primaries

2018-08-29 15:20:54 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/484381942565830656/1535554914253m.jpg

2018-08-29 15:24:08 UTC  

😂😂

2018-08-29 15:32:00 UTC  

@FLanon Do you think Gillum could win

2018-08-29 15:33:46 UTC  

I think DeSantis is more likely to win, but I'm not going to Hillary Effect it

2018-08-29 15:34:29 UTC  

Won't Gillum turn out people who don't normally vote in midterm elections

2018-08-29 15:34:33 UTC  

like Black voters

2018-08-29 15:34:49 UTC  

Yeah, he's a fucking idiot who wants to abolish ICE, wants to do medicare for all and a medicaid expansion *at the same time*, is under FBI investidation, and thinks a tax increase is a tax cut for corporations

2018-08-29 15:35:21 UTC  

And that's the flip side of it and why I'm not going to be arrogant, those black voters will have a higher turnout

2018-08-29 15:36:02 UTC  

One of the reasons Trump won states like FL was because Black turnout was way down

2018-08-29 15:36:51 UTC  

Yes, that's right

2018-08-29 15:37:14 UTC  

This was a state that Clinton did win in the dem primaries by double digits, not sure how a Sanders guy will fare here

2018-08-29 15:38:56 UTC  

Hopefully the fact he's an open socialist alienates the Cuban voters

2018-08-29 15:39:01 UTC  

we should assume that Gillum will turn out high numbers of minority and youth voters - so, we have to take away as many moderates away from him as possible.

2018-08-29 15:39:23 UTC  

assume the best case scenario for the opposition, and work accordingly

2018-08-29 15:39:47 UTC  

The cuban voters will definitelt not be thrilled by that

2018-08-29 15:40:04 UTC  

now, it could be that Gillum won't turn out as many minorities/youth as he'd like, leading to an even worse defeat than the ones Rick Scott dealt to Alex Sink in 2010 and Charlie Crist in 2014

2018-08-29 15:40:28 UTC  

They're probably not going to be like 30+ for DeSantis considering they don't like Trump as much as they like Rick Scott, but I mean they won't vote for Gillum

2018-08-29 15:40:43 UTC  

yeah about that @FLanon

2018-08-29 15:40:53 UTC  

now, FL always seems to be so close that if DeSantis screws it up, it could lead to Gillum winning. It doesn't even require a Roy Moore tier scenario

2018-08-29 15:41:11 UTC  

Does Desantis have anything going for him besides being "The Trump guy" @FLanon

2018-08-29 15:41:11 UTC  

🆙 | **PunishedAnon leveled up!**

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/484387048808120320/levelup.png

2018-08-29 15:41:20 UTC  

We might find that a sanders black man will be the perfect problem.
The problem with sanders was he lost the black vote because he didn't pander to minorities, but he stole the white vote for being so socialist.

I think there's a chance this socialist black combo will become a formidable opponent because it takes the best of sanders, and simultaneously improves on it.

2018-08-29 15:41:24 UTC  

He's a veteran, that's his other thing

2018-08-29 15:41:40 UTC  

That's one problem with his campaign is it isn't very state-issue oriented