Not to mention, in PA-18 in 2016, the incumbent was unopposed. You can't really accurately measure any swing that way.
if manchin wins in WV, are we going to call it a 40%+ swing in favour of the Democrats?
due to 2016 results?
of course not
well, @whoisjohngalt still brings up a point about the Democratic candidate now compared to the Democratic candidate then
And still so, even if the Ds have a better candidate now, it's still a legitimate dem swing
Yes, nobody disagreed there. The race is different.
Because they're trying harder this year very clearly
But there is no pro-GOP swing any way you look at it.
Yes exactly
This isn't POSITIVE that a man who won by 30% in 2014 is in a tossup scenario.
Just because the dems are trying harder this year doesn't mean you can just jew out and use presidential numbers
I don't agree that there's a pro-GOP swing
but
@whoisjohngalt brought up valid points
no reason to bash him so harshly
He started it...
He literally began condescending to FLAnon.
Scroll up.
Scold him before you scold these folks.
I wasn't even involved in the convo and I scrolled up.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-mn08-1.html
And saw him act like a complete retard unnecessarily.
check this out btw
Wow that is bad
Worrisome but not necessarily reflective of the upcomign results.
@FLanon sample is still small
plus
undecideds
MN-01 was R +14 in a recent poll.
so pinch of salt
This is MN-08
I know.
But it's just an example of an outrageous poll recently in Minnesota.
MN-01 is a pure toss up.
I suppose we'll see
@FLanon read beyond the headline numbers
I think our resources in flipping districts will be well spent in NH
Given how erratic the polls have been, we'll have to wait until they stabilise.
"It’s still early, though. Each candidate’s total could easily be seven points different if we polled everyone in the district. And having a small sample is only one possible source of error."
If they don't, we'll just have to wait until the day of the election.
