Well who knows

Nelson though? What do you mean

Are you talking about Rick Scott

yeah whoops

Definitely not the only person they've done this too

They fucked Roy Moore with this nonsense as well

well who knows what's coming in October

although...they've kinda fired their salvo at Kavanaugh already

so any allegations against GOP House/Senate candidates could be taken less seriously

https://twitter.com/ShannonBream/status/1044712802072612864

Sexual harassment complains have the effect of diminishing returns. Blowing it all on Kavanaugh is understandable but likely unwise over the long term.

I do not see them foiling his nomination but the certainty with which I anticipate this is certainly much lower than the last time I said this.

https://www.predictit.org/Market/4602/How-many-Yea-votes-will-Kavanaugh-receive-in-a-confirmation-vote-by-Oct-31

betting markets have it at 42 cents for -49 votes

@Walter Johnson it collapsed.

it was 51 2 days ago

rofl

Yeah it was 70 cents on sunday

when the new yorker story came out

ceteris paribus, we should get him nominated

https://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/athena/files/2018/09/19/5ba234fde4b046313fc11590.pdf

Only 25% of people belive the allegations are credible

And this is a poll from Huffpo

So as RhodesiaBro would say

Its probably biased

I've also noticed that the smear campaing against Kavanaugh have gotten a lot of NeverTrump Cuckservatives like Erick Erickson and Megyn Smelly to rally around Trump

@Walter Johnson and it got people like Charlie Kirk to say that it is better the win than lose with principle

I feel like this might backfire for the democrats

espcially if some Red State Democrats vote to confirm him

This is good.

It seems the allegations may even benefit us

Slimmer margins getting less dems re-elected, more Republicans rallying against dem tactics, the #MeToo smears they do try will be less effective after this attempt

Yeah the whole fit from the democrats about Kavanaugh has done more to energize conservatives and move them further to the right then the period from when trump was elected to this point

I'll hold my breath on him passing on Friday, but if he does and it's nearly entirely party line, then this will be extremely beneficial for our odds

Same but at the same time the only republican I can see voting no is Flake

I wouldn't be surprised if Manchin and Donally vote for him

I wouldn't either, but this could allow them to try to snake their way out of voting for him

If any red state democrat votes no, they’re fucked

@Rhodesiaboo is that poll biased tho

I don’t know potato boy

"potato boy"