Message from @reagent
Discord ID: 495042925592444940
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we should hope he votes no
what do you guys think Flakey is going to do? @FLanon
only if it isn't a decisive vote
if all the Republicans hold firm, then yeah
but I'd rather him vote yes and we get Kavanaugh than have him be defeated by a vote
Will all the moderates vote yes?
I honestly think he's a yes.
Hope so.
I only watched part of the testimony as I was doing homework, what were the main notable events @FLanon
it's hard to say, it was overall a good hearing for us
I see
Well a lot of democrat senate seats in red states are gonna be a lot more competitive
but yeah, I think WV is lean-D
Manchin's base is WV-03
someone like Jenkins could have cut into his margins there enough for him to lose
but against Morrissey?
I think Manchin votes Yes, not as a political move, but as a genuine show of support
he's one of the last real conserva-Dems
I think the easiest seats are:
he's not some woke #MeToo devotee
it will be as a political move
Manchin is very dirty and smart when it comes to this
ND > MO > IN > FL > MT > WV > yeah right
whenever there's a vote that's close on a conservative issue where he may be the deciding vote, he's always no
but whenever there's something that's bound to fail or bound to pass and it's a conservative issue, he's a yes vote
and he can include that as a part of his "conservative record"
trust me, if Murkowski and Flake were both guaranteed nos and the rest of the democrats said they were nos as well, I doubt that Manchin would be a yes
Oh, sure I agree with that
@here
"definitively prove" is the kind of thing you say if you want to sound open to changing your mind but really aren't
it's highly unlikely evidence exists anywhere to definitively prove either side's case, and he knows that
-49 votes is just 26 cents now
I had a hunch early today and put all of my money in my PredictIt account shorting -49 when it was at 52 cents
glad I did it
Its 22 cents now