Still useful as a data point, obviously not conclusive

Does Kavanaugh look like he will pass?

I think it’s 60/40 yes

Good

Looks like it'll be pretty close to party line from what I saw when I scrolled up

The stakes are too damn high

Only Manchin may break ranks

we're going to have a "week's delay"

once the vote does happen, he'll certainly pass

I wish Manchin would be a no, hopefully he ends up being one

He is in a good enough position that it wouldn’t matter, he will win no matter what. Morrisey is a pretty weak candidate

Tester, McCaskill, Heitkamp, Donnelly, and Nelson are the only realistic targets.
Though Nelson is slipping away fast

i would like to think itll be an easy vote. but you have to believe that the democrats will use this time to fabricate new accusations and plant new evidence and so on. All designed to create a perception so that the margin republicans feel pressure against voting

Manchin voting no would be huge

I imagine the WV electorate would turn against him extremely fast

The issue is he's not likely to vote no

Trump should camp out there non stop

Rally two or three more times before Election Day

he should have maybe one more rally in addition to the one he's having there

FL is more important IMO

Gillum is surging unfortunately and I think he will drag Nelson to the finish line. It is slipping away from us fast, even the Chamber of Commerce internal has Nelson up

He's not surging

He's up, but he's stable

Still important to try

you have a governor's seat at risk, a potential senate seat up for grabs, and if he goes and explicitly endorses No on Amendment 4, it will die guaranteed

Heitkamp and McCaskill are priority number one

Trump has to put a lot of resources here

DeSantis as proven to be a huge mistake. We really fumbled the ball by not nominating Putnam

Fuck you

What do you mean "we"? You don't live here.

aye

DeSantis is a great candidate Yellow

DeSantis will win. I'm sure of it.

He is floundering

It’s sad to watch

How so?

https://twitter.com/JeffFlake/status/1044994139954335745

Look at that fucking ratio

How's everyone tonight

The news is depressing, as usual

@Yellowhammer