Message from @Yellowhammer

Discord ID: 495398970449854484


2018-09-28 21:13:01 UTC  

BTFO

2018-09-28 21:17:26 UTC  

Here’s a picture that I think best describes the US in 2018

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/495343301940084737/image0.png

2018-09-28 21:34:45 UTC  

>In this new round, Ms Ford gets no nice guy treatment. Put her through the wringer ... the truth wringer.

In this new round, Ms Ford gets no nice guy treatment. Put her through the wringer ... the truth wringer.

>In this new round, Ms Ford gets no nice guy treatment. Put her through the wringer ... the truth wringer.

In this new round, Ms Ford gets no nice guy treatment. Put her through the wringer ... the truth wringer.

2018-09-28 23:11:20 UTC  

no, it should get you to keep fighting

2018-09-28 23:11:24 UTC  

hurl shit at the opposition

2018-09-28 23:11:26 UTC  

not at other right wingers

2018-09-28 23:15:37 UTC  

haha

2018-09-28 23:15:48 UTC  

well I do feel like banning you for the day you dipshit zoomer

2018-09-28 23:15:50 UTC  

enjoy

2018-09-29 00:42:31 UTC  

Any key pieces of news I've missed since being off the grid?

2018-09-29 00:43:57 UTC  

OH-1 and VA-2 live polls are going quite well atm

2018-09-29 00:44:17 UTC  

IA-3 looks to be a pure tossup

2018-09-29 00:46:39 UTC  

But, AZ-2 is horrifying. AZ is experiencing a true blue wave

2018-09-29 00:51:44 UTC  

Don't trust the New York Times/Upshot poll.

2018-09-29 00:51:54 UTC  

The sample size is ridiculous.

2018-09-29 00:53:04 UTC  

They are somewhat useful if obviously not 100% accurate

2018-09-29 00:54:43 UTC  

You need 600 to atleast be semi-accurate in a congressional district. 500 people is not representative.

2018-09-29 00:58:29 UTC  

Most have a 5 pt margin of error

2018-09-29 00:58:38 UTC  

I wish they would have slightly larger samples

2018-09-29 00:58:56 UTC  

Still useful as a data point, obviously not conclusive

2018-09-29 01:02:45 UTC  

Does Kavanaugh look like he will pass?

2018-09-29 01:03:13 UTC  

I think it’s 60/40 yes

2018-09-29 01:03:28 UTC  

Good

2018-09-29 01:03:51 UTC  

Looks like it'll be pretty close to party line from what I saw when I scrolled up

2018-09-29 01:03:57 UTC  

The stakes are too damn high

2018-09-29 01:04:14 UTC  

Only Manchin may break ranks

2018-09-29 01:04:19 UTC  

we're going to have a "week's delay"

2018-09-29 01:04:31 UTC  

once the vote does happen, he'll certainly pass

2018-09-29 01:04:44 UTC  

I wish Manchin would be a no, hopefully he ends up being one

2018-09-29 01:05:22 UTC  

He is in a good enough position that it wouldn’t matter, he will win no matter what. Morrisey is a pretty weak candidate

2018-09-29 01:05:57 UTC  

Tester, McCaskill, Heitkamp, Donnelly, and Nelson are the only realistic targets.
Though Nelson is slipping away fast

2018-09-29 01:06:31 UTC  

i would like to think itll be an easy vote. but you have to believe that the democrats will use this time to fabricate new accusations and plant new evidence and so on. All designed to create a perception so that the margin republicans feel pressure against voting

2018-09-29 01:06:32 UTC  

Manchin voting no would be huge

2018-09-29 01:06:47 UTC  

I imagine the WV electorate would turn against him extremely fast

2018-09-29 01:06:54 UTC  

The issue is he's not likely to vote no

2018-09-29 01:07:57 UTC  

Trump should camp out there non stop

2018-09-29 01:08:11 UTC  

Rally two or three more times before Election Day

2018-09-29 01:08:19 UTC  

he should have maybe one more rally in addition to the one he's having there

2018-09-29 01:08:24 UTC  

FL is more important IMO