Message from @FLanon

Discord ID: 415191291882635264


2018-02-19 16:50:34 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/415188424446967818/general.png

2018-02-19 16:53:46 UTC  

Well, that doesn't seem to be a good way of telling, white turnout among their own demographic is one thing, having data for whites among all voters, and their results in both the midterms and presidential would be what I'm looking for

2018-02-19 16:55:38 UTC  

in any case, this is interesting stuff, whites will always be the major demographic group in these elections

2018-02-19 16:56:42 UTC  

if we can get enough of the minority vote, maybe we'll be fine

2018-02-19 16:57:06 UTC  

oh you mean data that shows what percentage white voters composed of the electorate during midterms?

2018-02-19 16:57:08 UTC  

we'll never win the minority vote, but having 30-40% would be great

2018-02-19 16:57:18 UTC  

yeah that's what I meant

2018-02-19 16:57:21 UTC  

ok

2018-02-19 16:57:52 UTC  

while i look, here's one for racial composition by state during 2016,

2018-02-19 16:58:01 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/415190299841658891/Composition_of_the_Electorate_by_Racial_Category.png

2018-02-19 16:58:32 UTC  

>FL: Hispanics 15% of electorate

2018-02-19 16:58:35 UTC  

Damn

2018-02-19 16:59:10 UTC  

That's close to the black's percentages

2018-02-19 17:00:28 UTC  

found it,

2018-02-19 17:00:30 UTC  

apparently,

2018-02-19 17:00:51 UTC  

during 2014, Whites made up 75% of the electorate nationwide

2018-02-19 17:01:10 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/415191095295737866/2014_electorate.png

2018-02-19 17:01:15 UTC  

And in 2012 and 2010?

2018-02-19 17:01:41 UTC  

Notice how _Asians_ vote +1 for the GOP that year

2018-02-19 17:01:49 UTC  

that gives context for a trend

2018-02-19 17:01:57 UTC  

Well, shit

2018-02-19 17:02:13 UTC  

A minority group voted for Rs at some point?

2018-02-19 17:03:03 UTC  

That speaks for potential

2018-02-19 17:03:36 UTC  

Asians used to be a reliable GOP base,

2018-02-19 17:03:52 UTC  

what changed was they all move to urban areas, where all racial groups trend blue

2018-02-19 17:04:16 UTC  

Eh, what can you really do about that

2018-02-19 17:04:38 UTC  

Anyways, do you have the 2012 and 2010 data also, just to make sure we have a trend?

2018-02-19 17:06:22 UTC  

i'm looking, that data seems pretty ancient and buried lol

2018-02-19 17:08:00 UTC  

_oh_

2018-02-19 17:08:10 UTC  

in 2012, Whites made up 72% of the electorate

2018-02-19 17:08:23 UTC  

mostly because minority turnout was high because Obama was on the ballot

2018-02-19 17:09:00 UTC  

well, that's something, they do turn out higher in the midterms then

2018-02-19 17:09:03 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/415193076215185420/2012_midterms.jpg

2018-02-19 17:09:27 UTC  

asians also voted much more dem than in midterms

2018-02-19 17:09:36 UTC  

again, because Obama

2018-02-19 17:10:02 UTC  

this is all very interesting

2018-02-19 17:10:04 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I can see Asians coming back to the GOP at some point. I don't buy the whole "Collective Asian Culture". They would be perfect Republicans. Especially Koreans and Japanese.

2018-02-19 17:10:10 UTC  

if a racial minority is not on the ballot, racial minorities won't turn out

2018-02-19 17:10:34 UTC  

@Den i could buy into that hypothesis

2018-02-19 17:11:07 UTC  

fortunately for us,

2018-02-19 17:11:18 UTC  

most Democrat candidates in the midterms will be White, so turnout can't be _that_ high