Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 415191705537740811


2018-02-19 16:56:42 UTC  

if we can get enough of the minority vote, maybe we'll be fine

2018-02-19 16:57:06 UTC  

oh you mean data that shows what percentage white voters composed of the electorate during midterms?

2018-02-19 16:57:08 UTC  

we'll never win the minority vote, but having 30-40% would be great

2018-02-19 16:57:18 UTC  

yeah that's what I meant

2018-02-19 16:57:21 UTC  

ok

2018-02-19 16:57:52 UTC  

while i look, here's one for racial composition by state during 2016,

2018-02-19 16:58:01 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/415190299841658891/Composition_of_the_Electorate_by_Racial_Category.png

2018-02-19 16:58:32 UTC  

>FL: Hispanics 15% of electorate

2018-02-19 16:58:35 UTC  

Damn

2018-02-19 16:59:10 UTC  

That's close to the black's percentages

2018-02-19 17:00:28 UTC  

found it,

2018-02-19 17:00:30 UTC  

apparently,

2018-02-19 17:00:51 UTC  

during 2014, Whites made up 75% of the electorate nationwide

2018-02-19 17:01:10 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/415191095295737866/2014_electorate.png

2018-02-19 17:01:15 UTC  

And in 2012 and 2010?

2018-02-19 17:01:41 UTC  

Notice how _Asians_ vote +1 for the GOP that year

2018-02-19 17:01:49 UTC  

that gives context for a trend

2018-02-19 17:01:57 UTC  

Well, shit

2018-02-19 17:02:13 UTC  

A minority group voted for Rs at some point?

2018-02-19 17:03:03 UTC  

That speaks for potential

2018-02-19 17:03:36 UTC  

Asians used to be a reliable GOP base,

2018-02-19 17:03:52 UTC  

what changed was they all move to urban areas, where all racial groups trend blue

2018-02-19 17:04:16 UTC  

Eh, what can you really do about that

2018-02-19 17:04:38 UTC  

Anyways, do you have the 2012 and 2010 data also, just to make sure we have a trend?

2018-02-19 17:06:22 UTC  

i'm looking, that data seems pretty ancient and buried lol

2018-02-19 17:08:00 UTC  

_oh_

2018-02-19 17:08:10 UTC  

in 2012, Whites made up 72% of the electorate

2018-02-19 17:08:23 UTC  

mostly because minority turnout was high because Obama was on the ballot

2018-02-19 17:09:00 UTC  

well, that's something, they do turn out higher in the midterms then

2018-02-19 17:09:03 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/401223003779760168/415193076215185420/2012_midterms.jpg

2018-02-19 17:09:27 UTC  

asians also voted much more dem than in midterms

2018-02-19 17:09:36 UTC  

again, because Obama

2018-02-19 17:10:02 UTC  

this is all very interesting

2018-02-19 17:10:04 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I can see Asians coming back to the GOP at some point. I don't buy the whole "Collective Asian Culture". They would be perfect Republicans. Especially Koreans and Japanese.

2018-02-19 17:10:10 UTC  

if a racial minority is not on the ballot, racial minorities won't turn out

2018-02-19 17:10:34 UTC  

@Den i could buy into that hypothesis

2018-02-19 17:11:07 UTC  

fortunately for us,

2018-02-19 17:11:18 UTC  

most Democrat candidates in the midterms will be White, so turnout can't be _that_ high

2018-02-19 17:11:20 UTC  

I especially with the number of Evangelical Koreans. I think over time as they begin to feel more "Mainstream American".

2018-02-19 17:13:13 UTC  

Didn't the asians also vote for Clinton too?

2018-02-19 17:13:22 UTC  

actually no