Message from @fallot

Discord ID: 301336864873512962


2017-04-11 12:39:34 UTC  

To maximize the benefit of that

2017-04-11 12:39:41 UTC  

I don't follow?

2017-04-11 12:40:04 UTC  

Why is Pentagon, usually very precise in it's estimates

2017-04-11 12:40:24 UTC  

Always downplaying North Korean progress in nuclear development

2017-04-11 12:40:48 UTC  

And every each time, after 6 months to 1 year, they confirm North Korean claims, almost without mistake

2017-04-11 12:41:57 UTC  

that stuff is for domestic consumption

2017-04-11 12:42:38 UTC  

nuclear development? Their economy needs China

2017-04-11 12:42:44 UTC  

But think about how anxious was North Korean strategy, and how think line they are walking

2017-04-11 12:42:49 UTC  

In order to get cash to develop nukes

2017-04-11 12:43:07 UTC  

they had to deliberatelly completely neglect the remainder of their forces

2017-04-11 12:43:11 UTC  

which are now very dated

2017-04-11 12:43:21 UTC  

putting themselves at risk of a defeat in a conventional war

2017-04-11 12:43:23 UTC  

it's not a thin line, it's classic belligerent brinksmanship

2017-04-11 12:43:27 UTC  

and they took a risk

2017-04-11 12:43:43 UTC  

believing correctly, that China will serve as a sufficient deterrent

2017-04-11 12:44:16 UTC  

there's nothing anxious about it

2017-04-11 12:44:19 UTC  

But once they amasse large enough stockpile, and adequate delivery methods, they will be able to develop the rest of their forces

2017-04-11 12:44:20 UTC  

it's absolutely pragmatic

2017-04-11 12:44:58 UTC  

until they are tested, why wouldn't they just continue doing what they are doing? It leads to excellent results

2017-04-11 12:45:05 UTC  

They are

2017-04-11 12:45:07 UTC  

they "toe the line" and the response is never censure

2017-04-11 12:45:14 UTC  

it will always be appeasement

2017-04-11 12:45:17 UTC  

all UN and similar estimates are slow and are always downplaying

2017-04-11 12:45:30 UTC  

DPRK has a small stockpile of warheads, and has delivery methods

2017-04-11 12:45:30 UTC  

it's already a thing

2017-04-11 12:45:55 UTC  

they only don't posses long range missiles, which for their most immediate purposes, aren't necessary

2017-04-11 12:46:22 UTC  

define long range

2017-04-11 12:46:23 UTC  

"we will wipe out toky or seoul"

2017-04-11 12:46:31 UTC  

is sloganeering

2017-04-11 12:46:32 UTC  

the real power of nukes is their ability to wipe out entire battle fleets

2017-04-11 12:46:33 UTC  

like, able to reach the united states?

2017-04-11 12:46:48 UTC  

nukes on battle fleets

2017-04-11 12:46:52 UTC  

come on man

2017-04-11 12:46:57 UTC  

how do you think this stuff works

2017-04-11 12:47:23 UTC  

if you've got that kind of intelligence on a whole fleet you can even throw suicide boats at it and do major damage, much less nukes

2017-04-11 12:47:50 UTC  

I'm familiar

2017-04-11 12:49:03 UTC  

I can't even imagine a proper delivery method for such a device

2017-04-11 12:49:36 UTC  

I don't think you can put a nuclear warhead on those russian anti-carrier missiles

2017-04-11 12:51:25 UTC  

the issue is ballistics, how will you get an undetectable launch on a ballistic missile

2017-04-11 12:51:50 UTC  

and hit a mobile target, about which you may not be sure re: its position