A .6 point shift and Clinton would be president

Nope

So not sure where this “essentially nothin idea comes from

Lol “nope”

Like, literally

The margin of victory in PA was 1.2%

GG @Platinum Spark, you just advanced to level 22!

Polling is not an exact or very accurate science anyway. Every poll has a % chance of being entirely wrong also.

These aren’t polls

These are actual vote totals

Even the numbers they provide are only a range

That’s not how it works

Talking about the approval polls

We’re talking about shifts within polls, not whether it captures “the truth”

Aggregates of polls aren’t inherently better. It assumes that the aggregate bias is neutral

So it’s one thing to say that a poll isn’t correctly reading the signal

And it’s not

No, that’s not accurate

Where did you get that idea

I have class in 5 mins. Have a good day Sophie.

I hope it’s a statistics class.

***NEW RULE***

**Everytime u busted a nut, u have to say “Came” into the chat when u get back***

Sorry wrong send

<:laugh:583238348077006869>

Lol

Level setting though- with or without impeachment

Democrats have a 7 point lead in the generic ballot

IF that holds, trump can’t really win the presidency

Also, revising my statement to @Pelth

Trump’s approval rating as dropped 1.9% since pelosi announced an impeachment inquiry

I mean we all saw how quickly people like Kamala and Biden were completely thrown into the trash from a front runner position.

Bernie is in the hospital with an uncertain future

Warren has a very questionable history with lots of baggage that she can be roasted about.

It’s only a matter of time before an assault on her begins in earnest

Like Zuckerberg even said he would be forced to sue the government if warren wins and enacts her campaign promises

Trump has essentially unlimited resources this time around.

Are you a trump supporter?

😌🙏

Ofc

Odd

Heads up opinion polls this early in the game are also somewhat worthless. Most Americans have little to no knowledge of Democrat policy positions. When they realize later on into the campaign cycle just how radical they are this time, they’ll wholeheartedly or at least reluctantly go with trump.