Message from @Sh0t

Discord ID: 660950755657777223


2019-12-29 20:57:24 UTC  

you might be waiting a long time, don't fight the trend

2019-12-29 20:57:39 UTC  

people have been going bankrupt waiitng for that, shorting themselves into poverty

2019-12-29 20:57:44 UTC  

Isn't it lik ~10 years

2019-12-29 20:57:46 UTC  

2008

2019-12-29 20:57:54 UTC  

there was the it bubble end of 90s?

2019-12-29 20:58:07 UTC  

doesn't matter, it's an open ended system, you can have the real economy rotting while the markets pump

2019-12-29 20:58:24 UTC  

all you care about is the nominal gains in the market if you are trying to make money

2019-12-29 20:58:55 UTC  

I would say the US economy is already in recession, but that doesn't mean the market will necessarily crash

2019-12-29 20:59:03 UTC  

No I think I'll be doing what any right winger would be doing.

Prepping, gardening

2019-12-29 20:59:16 UTC  

I hate that system

2019-12-29 20:59:27 UTC  

You can do both

2019-12-29 20:59:31 UTC  

also trade against bots

2019-12-29 20:59:41 UTC  

don't trade against them, trade with them

2019-12-29 20:59:47 UTC  

THey automatically buy the dip

2019-12-29 21:00:06 UTC  

just wait until the liquidity adjustments of ETFs gets realized across the world

2019-12-29 21:00:27 UTC  

when you hear the phrase "free float adjusted weighting" in the news, then you can worry about things crashing

2019-12-29 21:00:52 UTC  

its like that subprime stuff?

2019-12-29 21:01:24 UTC  

it's very different, but it will have the same effect 'inside' the system, but not necessarily expressed in the markets the same way

2019-12-29 21:01:37 UTC  

it forms the base of a shaky pyramid

2019-12-29 21:02:03 UTC  

automatic purchases basically reduce the VOL, but becaue those funds need liquidity, they all buy the same stocks

2019-12-29 21:02:20 UTC  

so it compounds, and those major equities move the major indicies, etc

2019-12-29 21:02:53 UTC  

It's like pop music. it's popular because it's popular

2019-12-29 21:05:58 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/513098339961798676/660951665498652715/Screenshot_369.png

2019-12-29 21:06:12 UTC  

not good for sweden even worse than the USA in that shorter period

2019-12-29 21:07:46 UTC  

95 was when sweden ran its last big deficit, then it's been hovering around 0, with the expected rise in household debt to gdp ratio

2019-12-29 21:08:21 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/513098339961798676/660952265703686175/Screenshot_370.png

2019-12-29 21:08:39 UTC  

Worst of both worlds, high tax ratio and climbing household debt-to-gdp ratio

2019-12-29 21:10:10 UTC  

Das nice n shet

2019-12-29 21:11:22 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/513098339961798676/660953027141828608/Screenshot_371.png

2019-12-29 21:11:28 UTC  

Almost like clockwork

2019-12-29 21:11:42 UTC  

if the gov tries to run a balanced budget, household debt jumps

2019-12-29 21:12:10 UTC  

like that bump in 86

2019-12-29 21:12:10 UTC  

Interesting

2019-12-29 21:12:31 UTC  

Hmm

2019-12-29 21:13:04 UTC  

Sweden is a good test case because the trade picture is relatively balanced , most was like 8 % in either direction since 1980

2019-12-30 01:46:52 UTC  

Trump is not impeached

2019-12-30 01:48:39 UTC  

last I checked they put him in a peach

2019-12-30 01:48:48 UTC  

they snapped me a pic too

2019-12-30 02:00:01 UTC  

If he was impeached. There would be a senate trial

2019-12-30 02:00:19 UTC  

I don't see any trial being scheduled atm

2019-12-30 02:00:26 UTC  

Isn’t there gonna be one in January?