Message from @pratel
Discord ID: 483912012422840322
I'd love to see that happen. But the trends and the feeling does not align with that by any means.
So just panic like a purse-sized dog until then, I guess.
Whatever floats your boat.
The polling is pretty consistently +8
Commies are red not blue 🤔
where + is pro-democrat.
```The polling is pretty consistently +8```
Idiocy crystallized.
You mean to tell me
That after the election we just had
YOU TRUST THE POLLS
>quoting with code blocks
ARE YOU OUT OF YOUR FUCKING **GOURD** SIR
How is it idiocy? It's the consistent trend we've seen in the special elections.
```
YOU TRUST THE POLLS
```
There's numerous models being run with different emphasis (some being based on things other than polls like economic and political indicators (fundamental analysis) ) that put things at about +8
And the polls seem to be about +8.
There's numerous videos of the 2016 elections of smug expressions being wiped over the course of 6 hours.
The recent election in special election in Ohio is an R+8 district and that was dead even.
Giddy excitement turned into cold sweat.
And you trust the polls
The same thing everyone trusted at the time.
WHAT'S CHANGED
**WHAT HAS CHANGED**
Well for one, the pollsters are being more careful.
Tell me what incredibly genius measures have been set in place since then
Tell me.
Last time I remember the polilng was saying 95+% in favor of a Hillary win.
Oh they're more careful. They don't step on the sidewalk cracks anymore.
Good for them.
9_6
Which actually crosses the line into the "never trust a unanimous consensus" territory.
HOW are they more careful.
Well for one, no one is putting odds above 80% without lots of evidence to back it up.
Lots of?
And most are closer to something like 538 in 2016.
Around 60%.
How much is lots of.
Which was widely criticized at the time.
Months of consistent polls.
And are you just taking people's word on it?