Message from @pratel
Discord ID: 483911875516563458
Whatever. The difference is that I was retorting after interjecting. You're just trolling.
Typing makes you homosexual or something
No <#463068752725016579>
I think I'll have more proof to what I'm saying, in November
Where the blue wave does NOT turn out
I'd love to see that happen. But the trends and the feeling does not align with that by any means.
So just panic like a purse-sized dog until then, I guess.
Whatever floats your boat.
The polling is pretty consistently +8
Commies are red not blue 🤔
where + is pro-democrat.
```The polling is pretty consistently +8```
Idiocy crystallized.
You mean to tell me
That after the election we just had
YOU TRUST THE POLLS
>quoting with code blocks
ARE YOU OUT OF YOUR FUCKING **GOURD** SIR
How is it idiocy? It's the consistent trend we've seen in the special elections.
```
YOU TRUST THE POLLS
```
There's numerous models being run with different emphasis (some being based on things other than polls like economic and political indicators (fundamental analysis) ) that put things at about +8
There's numerous videos of the 2016 elections of smug expressions being wiped over the course of 6 hours.
The recent election in special election in Ohio is an R+8 district and that was dead even.
Giddy excitement turned into cold sweat.
And you trust the polls
That it happened once in the past does not ensure it happens again.
The same thing everyone trusted at the time.
WHAT'S CHANGED
**WHAT HAS CHANGED**
Well for one, the pollsters are being more careful.
Tell me what incredibly genius measures have been set in place since then
Tell me.
Last time I remember the polilng was saying 95+% in favor of a Hillary win.
Oh they're more careful. They don't step on the sidewalk cracks anymore.
Good for them.
9_6
Which actually crosses the line into the "never trust a unanimous consensus" territory.
HOW are they more careful.
Well for one, no one is putting odds above 80% without lots of evidence to back it up.
Lots of?
And most are closer to something like 538 in 2016.