many groups are not being polled however, as there is no reliable way to reach them and potentially screen them (to prevent their numbers from counting twice, or to make sure the sample is random enough)

I think the blue wave is just Mind Games Round 2.

@Dr.Wol Yeah, that's the problem in the social sciences right now. Particularly the more activist and political elements.

Then what was this recent election in Ohio?

That's an R+8 district.

Who are we talking about?

It should have never been news. Nonetheless as close as it was.

https://www.outsidethebeltway.com/republican-declared-winner-of-narrow-victory-in-ohio-special-election/

Troy Balderson.

Ignore the headline if you want. But it's a verified fact it's a safe Republican district that was so close that they spent weeks recounting.

You really think that's comparable to the mega-event in november?

And the seat is up for actual election in November.

Considering it would be the same people again...yes.

And it's just part of a trend, really. There's been a number of special elections.

If there's a local election in my state, I'm not aware of it because I don't watch TV.

But how the hell would I be unaware of the midterms?

This is the sort of question that throws people

"Wait how were all the polls wrong."

9_9

Considering midterms usually have low turnout. I'm not sure it matters.

Because we're not inspecting voters on the human level.

People just don't care mostly.

lol

Fun fact

Or they decide it's not worth the effort.

I didn't even know what Midterms WERE until this term.

Or aren't completely aware of the elcetion.

You have no idea how big that is.

Or that.

Trump has made EVERYTHING LESS BORING

Some of us have been in the loop for awhile though.

Will not disagree there.

Key phrase

"Some of us"

You have no idea how much is different now. And it's quaint.

I have doubts. But we'll see.

I get the feeling we're voting the same way in November. So I hope you're right.

This is the first president I've seen in my lifetime.

I didn't go out and vote for him on election day

But I can't lie. I don't think it's not looking terribly bright.

I'm strongly considering going out and voting all red.