Message from @FLanon
Discord ID: 411485698156134400
and spice up the discussion
they give the threads some momentum
updated for today
currently using this link as reference
I more inclined to believe WA-08 will flip
no districts in NC will change
opinion:
it won't be enough for us to be anti-left and rely on liberals making fools of themselves. we on the right need to trout out a list of accomplishments come november (ex. tax cuts)
What's going on? Why isn't Rick Scott running as senator for Florida yet?
just curious
Scott's busy w/ governorship atm, he's got to announce a run, he's anticipated to and hasn't signalled anything pointing towards the contrary.
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 the GOP should be acting on many of the reforms Trump proposed in the SOTU, these are things any American could agree with and would be a major gain.
As for list of accomplishments, I think places like /ptg/ have a list of accomplishments in a pastebin
And on the Rick Scott note: http://www.heraldtribune.com/news/20180207/rick-scotts-improving-public-image-could-make-senate-run-more-likely
“Politicians typically are thinking about their next job; I’ve got to continue finishing this job,” Scott said when asked if his higher approval ratings make him more likely to run for the Senate."
@FLanon I recall hearing about Rick Scott's unpopularity back then
What made him more popular in the last couple years
I updated the state by state guide
@everyone
@FLanon he hesistating because FL has an extensive history of punishing the party in power during midterm elections
egad,
The Democrats are back at a +7.5 lead
But isn't that because that Marost poll that appears to be an utlier? It has Trump's Approval numbers below most other polls as well
WaPo is also saying that the Cook Political Ratings for the House have shifted towards the Dems favor. But I don't know how. There are currently 16 GOP house seats rated tossup or worse to 4 Dem Seats. So even if some miracle happened and they picked up all those while we got 0 they would still be 8 seats short from the house.
Outlier. I mean I have no clue why I spelled it that way
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 they're still lower than the double digit lead they had
I predict it'll go wayyyy down over the next few months
This is a list of Democrat House Reps who are incumbents in districts that Trump won. These will be especially vulnerable this November, and because Democrats need to flip 24 seats to win a majority, they cannot afford to lose any of these seats. Let’s make sure they lose all of them.
AZ-01 Tom O’Halleran, 2016 House Margin (7.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.1% for Trump)
IA-02 David Loebsack, 2016 House Margin (7.5% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (4.1% for Trump)
MN-01 Timothy Walz , Retiring, 2016 House Margin (0.8% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (14.9% for Trump)
MN-07 Collin Peterson, 2016 House Margin (5% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (30.8% for Trump)
MN-08 Rick Nolan, 2016 House Margin (0.6% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (15.6% for Trump)
NH-01 Carol-Shea Porter, Retiring, 2016 House Margin (1.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.6% for Trump)
NJ-05 Josh Gottheimer, 2016 House Margin (4.4% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.0% for Trump)
NV-03 Jacky Rosen, Retiring, 2016 House Margin (1.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1% for Trump)
NY-18 Sean P. Maloney, 2016 House Margin (11.2% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.9% for Trump)
PA-17 Matthew Cartwright, 2016 House Margin (7.6% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (10.1% for Trump)
WI-03 Ron Kind, 2016 House Margin (99%, faced no opponent aside from write-in) 2016 Presidential Margin (4.5% for Trump)
@everyone anyone here live in any of these districts ?
if the GOP wins all of these, the Dems will have to flip 35 other seats to compensate